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Lincoln (MO)

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Lincoln (MO)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 930 (#196) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 932 (#213) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 874 (#549) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +3.4 (#194) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -0.1 (#332) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.603 (#125) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -5.6 More → 0.370 (#252) NetEff -5.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.0 More → 0.817 (#98) AdjNet +13.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.2 More → 0.823 (#96) AdjNet +13.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 64.0 More → 0.712 (#97) AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 64.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 71.5 More → 0.481 (#344) AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 71.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.433 (#373) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.429 (#374) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 71 | GP 47 More → 895 (#377) RD 71 | GP 47

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs P.R.-Bayamon W 75 - 62
2025-11-15 vs P.R.-Rio Piedras W 96 - 58
2025-11-17 vs Hannibal-La Grange W 69 - 44
2025-11-22 vs Emporia St. L 90 - 92
2025-11-29 vs Southwest Baptist W 77 - 68
2025-12-01 vs Missouri S&T L 87 - 99
2025-12-04 @ Upper Iowa L 62 - 76
2025-12-06 @ Lewis L 47 - 56
2025-12-11 vs Haskell W 85 - 81
2025-12-15 vs Cent. Christian Bib. W 114 - 42
2025-12-17 vs Ark. Baptist W 69 - 61
2025-12-20 vs Purdue Northwest L 74 - 81
2026-01-02 vs Truman St. L 57 - 59
2026-01-04 vs Quincy L 60 - 65
2026-01-08 @ Southwest Baptist L 62 - 70
2026-01-10 @ Drury L 79 - 85
2026-01-17 @ Mo.-St. Louis L 64 - 78
2026-01-22 vs Maryville (MO) - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs McKendree - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 @ Ill. Springfield L 76 - 85
2026-01-31 @ UIndy L 73 - 101
2026-02-05 vs Lewis W 84 - 68
2026-02-07 vs Upper Iowa W 72 - 65
2026-02-12 @ Quincy L 58 - 77
2026-02-14 @ Truman St. W 93 - 79
2026-02-19 vs William Jewell L 60 - 74
2026-02-21 vs Rockhurst L 72 - 84
2026-02-26 @ Missouri S&T L 70 - 78

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Solomon Oraegbu - 19 28.8 19.9 5.4 1.5 0.9 0.2 2.4 15.2 10.4 - - - - 44.4 31.9 87.0 - 55.8 48.3
Tyler Chapman - 22 31.2 14.8 3.1 3.3 0.8 0.2 2.2 14.7 5.3 - - - - 35.6 33.3 88.2 - 48.1 45.7
Enari Thomas - 8 29.3 12.9 3.2 1.5 0.8 0.2 1.4 12.0 5.2 - - - - 39.6 22.7 73.3 - 47.2 42.2
Malcolm Davis - 28 33.4 10.7 3.4 2.5 1.0 0.1 1.5 8.5 7.6 - - - - 39.7 35.7 84.5 - 56.5 52.3
Max Ekono - 28 30.8 8.2 8.8 2.6 0.5 0.3 1.9 6.0 12.6 - - - - 42.3 32.3 82.5 - 56.3 48.5
Matthieu Biembongo - 24 21.0 7.1 6.0 0.4 0.4 1.5 1.4 5.2 8.8 - - - - 54.0 0.0 63.0 - 56.8 54.0
D'Necco Rucker - 28 20.2 5.8 3.1 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.8 4.5 5.5 - - - - 46.4 39.2 70.3 - 57.3 54.4
Amar Kadic - 20 10.4 4.6 2.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 4.8 1.9 - - - - 33.3 23.8 72.2 - 44.3 41.1
Robin Discamps - 27 9.4 3.9 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.6 3.4 2.6 - - - - 34.4 32.8 76.9 - 50.3 45.7
Rashad Williams - 28 10.8 3.1 2.3 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 2.2 3.6 - - - - 63.5 0 63.6 - 64.1 63.5
Elliott Yorke Jr - 12 9.2 3.0 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.2 2.4 1.7 - - - - 44.8 39.1 33.3 - 59.4 60.3
Tyler Lucas - 18 12.9 2.4 1.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.6 2.8 1.2 - - - - 31.4 23.1 100.0 - 41.0 37.3
Reumang Emagna - 3 8.1 1.7 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.7 - - - - 40.0 0 50.0 - 42.5 40.0
Sterling Rivera - 15 13.9 1.6 1.7 1.5 1.1 0.0 0.5 1.6 3.9 - - - - 25.0 33.3 69.2 - 40.4 31.2

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG