Lincoln (CA)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2020 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 823 (#500) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 847 (#482) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 785 (#680) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.9 (#246) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.9 (#499) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.056 (#561) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.018 (#610) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.208 (#520) | AdjNet -11.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.016 (#680) | AdjNet -35.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.222 (#510) | AdjNet -10.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.016 (#676) | AdjNet -34.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.334 (#522) | AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 67.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.087 (#695) | AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 87.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.301 (#612) | AdjO 56.4 | AdjD 65.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.218 (#588) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.216 (#595) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 798 (#468) | RD 68 | GP 62 |
2020 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-11-08 | @ | Southern Ark. | L | 57 - 70 |
| 2019-11-08 | vs | Kutztown | W | 65 - 58 |
| 2019-11-09 | @ | Ark.-Monticello | L | 37 - 68 |
| 2019-11-09 | vs | Clarion | W | 83 - 37 |
| 2019-11-12 | vs | Cheyney | W | 97 - 43 |
| 2019-11-12 | @ | Purdue Northwest | L | 68 - 92 |
| 2019-11-14 | @ | Shepherd | L | 72 - 77 |
| 2019-11-16 | vs | UHSP | L | 68 - 69 |
| 2019-11-19 | @ | West Chester | W | 75 - 66 |
| 2019-11-20 | vs | MacMurray | W | 93 - 37 |
| 2019-11-21 | vs | Shippensburg | W | 85 - 69 |
| 2019-11-23 | @ | Johnson C. Smith | W | 74 - 63 |
| 2019-11-24 | @ | William Jewell | L | 72 - 87 |
| 2019-11-25 | @ | Winston-Salem | W | 77 - 67 |
| 2019-11-29 | @ | Maryville (MO) | L | 67 - 84 |
| 2019-11-30 | @ | Mo.-St. Louis | L | 61 - 79 |
| 2019-12-05 | vs | Northwest Mo. St. | L | 32 - 56 |
| 2019-12-07 | vs | Missouri Western | L | 47 - 66 |
| 2019-12-07 | @ | Livingstone | W | 68 - 61 |
| 2019-12-12 | vs | Claflin | W | 81 - 54 |
| 2019-12-14 | vs | Hannibal-La Grange | W | 84 - 45 |
| 2019-12-14 | vs | Johnson C. Smith | W | 69 - 68 |
| 2019-12-17 | @ | Caldwell | W | 94 - 52 |
| 2019-12-19 | vs | Eureka | W | 84 - 75 |
| 2019-12-19 | vs | Fayetteville St. | L | 75 - 80 |
| 2019-12-21 | @ | N.C. Central | W | 68 - 53 |
| 2020-01-04 | @ | Newman | L | 46 - 82 |
| 2020-01-04 | vs | Livingstone | W | 84 - 56 |
| 2020-01-06 | @ | Central Okla. | L | 57 - 88 |
| 2020-01-07 | @ | Elizabeth City St. | W | 74 - 45 |
| 2020-01-09 | @ | Shaw | L | 53 - 61 |
| 2020-01-11 | vs | Central Mo. | L | 60 - 82 |
| 2020-01-11 | @ | Saint Augustine's | W | 70 - 61 |
| 2020-01-15 | vs | Virginia Union | W | 76 - 46 |
| 2020-01-16 | vs | Mo. Southern St. | L | 65 - 74 |
| 2020-01-18 | vs | Pittsburg St. | L | 63 - 84 |
| 2020-01-18 | @ | Claflin | W | 74 - 61 |
| 2020-01-20 | vs | Elizabeth City St. | W | 69 - 43 |
| 2020-01-23 | @ | Northeastern St. | L | 47 - 67 |
| 2020-01-25 | vs | Bowie St. | W | 63 - 59 |
| 2020-01-25 | @ | Rogers St. | L | 75 - 99 |
| 2020-01-27 | vs | Virginia St. | W | 83 - 44 |
| 2020-01-29 | vs | Washburn | L | 49 - 66 |
| 2020-02-01 | vs | Emporia St. | L | 58 - 67 |
| 2020-02-01 | vs | Shaw | W | 83 - 40 |
| 2020-02-03 | vs | Winston-Salem | W | 65 - 59 |
| 2020-02-05 | vs | Saint Augustine's | W | 81 - 50 |
| 2020-02-05 | @ | Missouri Western | L | 53 - 72 |
| 2020-02-08 | @ | Northwest Mo. St. | L | 45 - 59 |
| 2020-02-13 | vs | Neb.-Kearney | L | 52 - 60 |
| 2020-02-13 | @ | Virginia St. | W | 65 - 58 |
| 2020-02-15 | vs | Fort Hays St. | L | 55 - 86 |
| 2020-02-15 | @ | Virginia Union | L | 47 - 62 |
| 2020-02-18 | @ | Central Mo. | L | 45 - 74 |
| 2020-02-22 | @ | Washburn | L | 56 - 85 |
| 2020-02-22 | @ | Bowie St. | L | 56 - 60 |
| 2020-02-26 | @ | Pittsburg St. | L | 41 - 54 |
| 2020-02-27 | vs | Winston-Salem | L | 59 - 63 |
| 2020-02-29 | @ | Mo. Southern St. | L | 49 - 85 |
2020 Roster
No roster data available for this season.