🐻⬇️🏀

Lincoln (CA)

Also known as: Lincoln (CA)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2020 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 823 (#500) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 847 (#482) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 785 (#680) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -9.9 (#246) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -8.9 (#499) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.056 (#561) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.018 (#610) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.6 More → 0.208 (#520) AdjNet -11.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -35.2 More → 0.016 (#680) AdjNet -35.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.5 More → 0.222 (#510) AdjNet -10.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -34.4 More → 0.016 (#676) AdjNet -34.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 67.8 More → 0.334 (#522) AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 67.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 87.6 More → 0.087 (#695) AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 87.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.4 | AdjD 65.6 More → 0.301 (#612) AdjO 56.4 | AdjD 65.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.218 (#588) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.216 (#595) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 68 | GP 62 More → 798 (#468) RD 68 | GP 62

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-11-08 @ Southern Ark. L 57 - 70
2019-11-08 vs Kutztown W 65 - 58
2019-11-09 @ Ark.-Monticello L 37 - 68
2019-11-09 vs Clarion W 83 - 37
2019-11-12 vs Cheyney W 97 - 43
2019-11-12 @ Purdue Northwest L 68 - 92
2019-11-14 @ Shepherd L 72 - 77
2019-11-16 vs UHSP L 68 - 69
2019-11-19 @ West Chester W 75 - 66
2019-11-20 vs MacMurray W 93 - 37
2019-11-21 vs Shippensburg W 85 - 69
2019-11-23 @ Johnson C. Smith W 74 - 63
2019-11-24 @ William Jewell L 72 - 87
2019-11-25 @ Winston-Salem W 77 - 67
2019-11-29 @ Maryville (MO) L 67 - 84
2019-11-30 @ Mo.-St. Louis L 61 - 79
2019-12-05 vs Northwest Mo. St. L 32 - 56
2019-12-07 vs Missouri Western L 47 - 66
2019-12-07 @ Livingstone W 68 - 61
2019-12-12 vs Claflin W 81 - 54
2019-12-14 vs Hannibal-La Grange W 84 - 45
2019-12-14 vs Johnson C. Smith W 69 - 68
2019-12-17 @ Caldwell W 94 - 52
2019-12-19 vs Eureka W 84 - 75
2019-12-19 vs Fayetteville St. L 75 - 80
2019-12-21 @ N.C. Central W 68 - 53
2020-01-04 @ Newman L 46 - 82
2020-01-04 vs Livingstone W 84 - 56
2020-01-06 @ Central Okla. L 57 - 88
2020-01-07 @ Elizabeth City St. W 74 - 45
2020-01-09 @ Shaw L 53 - 61
2020-01-11 vs Central Mo. L 60 - 82
2020-01-11 @ Saint Augustine's W 70 - 61
2020-01-15 vs Virginia Union W 76 - 46
2020-01-16 vs Mo. Southern St. L 65 - 74
2020-01-18 vs Pittsburg St. L 63 - 84
2020-01-18 @ Claflin W 74 - 61
2020-01-20 vs Elizabeth City St. W 69 - 43
2020-01-23 @ Northeastern St. L 47 - 67
2020-01-25 vs Bowie St. W 63 - 59
2020-01-25 @ Rogers St. L 75 - 99
2020-01-27 vs Virginia St. W 83 - 44
2020-01-29 vs Washburn L 49 - 66
2020-02-01 vs Emporia St. L 58 - 67
2020-02-01 vs Shaw W 83 - 40
2020-02-03 vs Winston-Salem W 65 - 59
2020-02-05 vs Saint Augustine's W 81 - 50
2020-02-05 @ Missouri Western L 53 - 72
2020-02-08 @ Northwest Mo. St. L 45 - 59
2020-02-13 vs Neb.-Kearney L 52 - 60
2020-02-13 @ Virginia St. W 65 - 58
2020-02-15 vs Fort Hays St. L 55 - 86
2020-02-15 @ Virginia Union L 47 - 62
2020-02-18 @ Central Mo. L 45 - 74
2020-02-22 @ Washburn L 56 - 85
2020-02-22 @ Bowie St. L 56 - 60
2020-02-26 @ Pittsburg St. L 41 - 54
2020-02-27 vs Winston-Salem L 59 - 63
2020-02-29 @ Mo. Southern St. L 49 - 85

2020 Roster

No roster data available for this season.