Lincoln (CA)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2019 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 823 (#500) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 847 (#482) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 785 (#680) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.9 (#246) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.9 (#499) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.056 (#561) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.018 (#610) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.208 (#520) | AdjNet -11.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.016 (#680) | AdjNet -35.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.222 (#510) | AdjNet -10.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.016 (#676) | AdjNet -34.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.334 (#522) | AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 67.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.087 (#695) | AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 87.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.301 (#612) | AdjO 56.4 | AdjD 65.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.218 (#588) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.216 (#595) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 798 (#468) | RD 68 | GP 62 |
2019 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-11-06 | @ | Morgan St. | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2018-11-09 | @ | Kutztown | W | 86 - 71 |
| 2018-11-09 | @ | Southern Ark. | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-10 | @ | Bloomsburg | L | 47 - 54 |
| 2018-11-10 | vs | Ark.-Monticello | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-12 | @ | Eastern Ill. | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2018-11-13 | vs | Stephens College | W | 79 - 34 |
| 2018-11-14 | vs | Dist. Columbia | W | 68 - 59 |
| 2018-11-18 | vs | Jefferson | L | 64 - 70 |
| 2018-11-20 | vs | West Chester | L | 80 - 84 |
| 2018-11-21 | vs | McKendree | W | 72 - 70 |
| 2018-11-27 | @ | Goldey-Beacom | L | 54 - 65 |
| 2018-12-01 | vs | Robert Morris-S'fiel | W | 96 - 33 |
| 2018-12-01 | @ | Bloomfield | L | 64 - 74 |
| 2018-12-05 | @ | Shippensburg | W | 77 - 76 |
| 2018-12-06 | @ | Northwest Mo. St. | W | 69 - 66 |
| 2018-12-08 | @ | Missouri Western | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-09 | @ | Washington Adventist | W | 93 - 54 |
| 2018-12-13 | vs | Johnson C. Smith | L | 73 - 78 |
| 2018-12-15 | vs | Winston-Salem | L | 72 - 80 |
| 2018-12-15 | vs | William Jewell | L | 70 - 76 |
| 2018-12-17 | vs | Livingstone | W | 89 - 76 |
| 2018-12-18 | @ | Upper Iowa | W | 73 - 48 |
| 2018-12-19 | vs | Claflin | L | 51 - 71 |
| 2018-12-30 | vs | UHSP | W | 71 - 42 |
| 2018-12-31 | @ | Wilmington (DE) | W | 100 - 65 |
| 2019-01-03 | vs | Pittsburg St. | L | 68 - 98 |
| 2019-01-05 | vs | Mo. Southern St. | L | 78 - 81 |
| 2019-01-05 | vs | Shepherd | W | 76 - 51 |
| 2019-01-10 | @ | Fayetteville St. | L | 58 - 71 |
| 2019-01-12 | @ | Saint Augustine's | W | 58 - 50 |
| 2019-01-13 | @ | Lindenwood | L | 46 - 69 |
| 2019-01-14 | @ | Shaw | W | 80 - 61 |
| 2019-01-16 | @ | Central Mo. | L | 58 - 77 |
| 2019-01-19 | @ | Bowie St. | W | 66 - 61 |
| 2019-01-19 | @ | Southwest Baptist | L | 67 - 68 |
| 2019-01-23 | vs | Elizabeth City St. | W | 60 - 57 |
| 2019-01-24 | vs | Northeastern St. | L | 68 - 73 |
| 2019-01-26 | @ | Virginia Union | L | 40 - 76 |
| 2019-01-26 | vs | Central Okla. | L | 56 - 68 |
| 2019-01-30 | @ | Chowan | W | 77 - 51 |
| 2019-01-31 | @ | Washburn | L | 73 - 79 |
| 2019-02-02 | @ | Virginia St. | W | 51 - 49 |
| 2019-02-02 | @ | Emporia St. | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-07 | vs | Missouri Western | L | 59 - 68 |
| 2019-02-09 | vs | Northwest Mo. St. | W | 64 - 51 |
| 2019-02-09 | vs | Bowie St. | L | 39 - 57 |
| 2019-02-13 | @ | Elizabeth City St. | W | 82 - 76 |
| 2019-02-14 | @ | Neb.-Kearney | L | 59 - 72 |
| 2019-02-16 | vs | Virginia Union | L | 56 - 81 |
| 2019-02-16 | @ | Fort Hays St. | L | 59 - 73 |
| 2019-02-19 | vs | Lindenwood | L | 63 - 86 |
| 2019-02-21 | vs | Chowan | L | 55 - 57 |
| 2019-02-23 | vs | Virginia St. | W | 66 - 54 |
| 2019-02-23 | vs | Washburn | L | 70 - 80 |
| 2019-02-26 | vs | Saint Augustine's | W | 63 - 52 |
| 2019-02-27 | vs | Southwest Baptist | L | 73 - 76 |
| 2019-02-28 | @ | Johnson C. Smith | W | 91 - 75 |
| 2019-03-01 | @ | Virginia Union | L | 75 - 82 |
| 2019-03-02 | vs | Central Mo. | L | 52 - 77 |
2019 Roster
No roster data available for this season.