Lincoln (CA)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2017 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 823 (#500) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 847 (#482) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 785 (#680) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.9 (#246) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.9 (#499) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.056 (#561) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.018 (#610) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.208 (#520) | AdjNet -11.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.016 (#680) | AdjNet -35.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.222 (#510) | AdjNet -10.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.016 (#676) | AdjNet -34.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.334 (#522) | AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 67.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.087 (#695) | AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 87.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.301 (#612) | AdjO 56.4 | AdjD 65.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.218 (#588) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.216 (#595) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 798 (#468) | RD 68 | GP 62 |
2017 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-11 | vs | Millersville | L | 55 - 76 |
| 2016-11-12 | @ | Rockhurst | L | 64 - 86 |
| 2016-11-12 | vs | Gannon | W | 66 - 40 |
| 2016-11-16 | @ | Missouri S&T | L | 66 - 73 |
| 2016-11-16 | vs | USciences | L | 46 - 61 |
| 2016-11-18 | vs | Mo.-St. Louis | L | 51 - 54 |
| 2016-11-19 | vs | Jefferson | L | 59 - 65 |
| 2016-11-21 | vs | Stephens College | - | Preview |
| 2016-11-22 | vs | Dist. Columbia | L | 63 - 65 |
| 2016-11-22 | @ | Quincy | L | 70 - 73 |
| 2016-11-28 | vs | Pitt.-Johnstown | L | 68 - 79 |
| 2016-11-30 | vs | Bloomfield | W | 66 - 62 |
| 2016-12-01 | @ | Omaha | L | 49 - 98 |
| 2016-12-03 | vs | Harris-Stowe | - | Preview |
| 2016-12-08 | vs | Mo. Southern St. | L | 56 - 70 |
| 2016-12-10 | vs | Pittsburg St. | L | 52 - 83 |
| 2016-12-13 | vs | Livingstone | W | 68 - 59 |
| 2016-12-15 | vs | Winston-Salem | L | 52 - 69 |
| 2016-12-17 | vs | Johnson C. Smith | L | 52 - 67 |
| 2016-12-17 | @ | Emporia St. | L | 59 - 85 |
| 2016-12-18 | @ | Norfolk St. | L | 28 - 62 |
| 2016-12-19 | @ | Washburn | L | 66 - 77 |
| 2016-12-30 | @ | Wilmington (DE) | L | 71 - 80 |
| 2016-12-30 | @ | McKendree | L | 66 - 78 |
| 2017-01-05 | @ | Fayetteville St. | L | 53 - 62 |
| 2017-01-05 | vs | Central Okla. | L | 64 - 66 |
| 2017-01-07 | vs | Northeastern St. | W | 66 - 62 |
| 2017-01-09 | @ | Shaw | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2017-01-11 | @ | Saint Augustine's | W | 55 - 29 |
| 2017-01-12 | @ | Pittsburg St. | L | 67 - 106 |
| 2017-01-14 | @ | Mo. Southern St. | L | 75 - 86 |
| 2017-01-14 | @ | Bowie St. | L | 45 - 53 |
| 2017-01-18 | vs | Elizabeth City St. | W | 86 - 42 |
| 2017-01-18 | vs | Central Mo. | L | 41 - 66 |
| 2017-01-21 | @ | Virginia Union | L | 57 - 91 |
| 2017-01-21 | vs | Southwest Baptist | W | 72 - 70 |
| 2017-01-25 | @ | Chowan | L | 64 - 81 |
| 2017-01-26 | @ | Fort Hays St. | L | 68 - 81 |
| 2017-01-28 | @ | Virginia St. | L | 52 - 53 |
| 2017-01-28 | @ | Neb.-Kearney | L | 58 - 70 |
| 2017-01-30 | @ | Cheyney | W | 68 - 41 |
| 2017-02-02 | vs | Northwest Mo. St. | L | 60 - 70 |
| 2017-02-04 | vs | Missouri Western | L | 59 - 78 |
| 2017-02-04 | vs | Bowie St. | L | 54 - 65 |
| 2017-02-08 | @ | Elizabeth City St. | L | 60 - 66 |
| 2017-02-11 | vs | Lindenwood | W | 93 - 88 |
| 2017-02-11 | vs | Virginia Union | W | 82 - 78 |
| 2017-02-14 | @ | Lindenwood | W | 71 - 67 |
| 2017-02-15 | vs | Chowan | L | 64 - 82 |
| 2017-02-16 | @ | Central Mo. | L | 60 - 71 |
| 2017-02-18 | vs | Virginia St. | L | 50 - 69 |
| 2017-02-21 | vs | Shaw | W | 65 - 62 |
| 2017-02-22 | @ | Chowan | W | 73 - 71 |
| 2017-02-23 | @ | Missouri Western | L | 67 - 98 |
| 2017-02-24 | vs | Virginia St. | L | 51 - 59 |
| 2017-02-25 | @ | Northwest Mo. St. | L | 77 - 98 |
2017 Roster
No roster data available for this season.