Lincoln (CA)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2022 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 874 (#549) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.1 (#332) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.017 (#614) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.093 (#626) | AdjNet -19.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.090 (#626) | AdjNet -19.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.169 (#653) | AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 88.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.481 (#344) | AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 71.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.433 (#373) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.430 (#374) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 897 (#370) | RD 71 | GP 47 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-12 | @ | Kutztown | W | 82 - 74 |
| 2021-11-13 | vs | Ark.-Monticello | L | 67 - 73 |
| 2021-11-13 | @ | West Chester | L | 75 - 97 |
| 2021-11-14 | @ | Minnesota St. | L | 69 - 92 |
| 2021-11-17 | vs | Holy Family | W | 77 - 58 |
| 2021-11-20 | vs | Shepherd | L | 74 - 78 |
| 2021-11-20 | @ | Cal Poly Humboldt | L | 78 - 81 |
| 2021-11-23 | @ | Bloomfield | W | 70 - 62 |
| 2021-11-23 | @ | Mo.-St. Louis | L | 72 - 80 |
| 2021-11-24 | @ | Maryville (MO) | L | 55 - 82 |
| 2021-11-28 | @ | Ferris St. | L | 66 - 82 |
| 2021-11-30 | vs | Central Bible (MO) | W | 101 - 55 |
| 2021-12-01 | vs | USciences | W | 84 - 67 |
| 2021-12-04 | @ | Jefferson | L | 75 - 87 |
| 2021-12-05 | @ | Central Mo. | L | 59 - 72 |
| 2021-12-07 | @ | Cheyney | W | 83 - 55 |
| 2021-12-09 | vs | Wilmington (DE) | W | 77 - 53 |
| 2021-12-09 | vs | Missouri Western | L | 76 - 78 |
| 2021-12-11 | vs | Northwest Mo. St. | L | 54 - 84 |
| 2021-12-12 | @ | Southern Conn. St. | W | 79 - 67 |
| 2021-12-15 | @ | Pittsburg St. | L | 75 - 86 |
| 2021-12-16 | vs | Johnson C. Smith | W | 85 - 71 |
| 2021-12-18 | vs | Winston-Salem | W | 63 - 60 |
| 2021-12-18 | @ | Mo. Southern St. | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2022-01-01 | vs | Emporia St. | L | 69 - 76 |
| 2022-01-06 | @ | Fayetteville St. | - | Preview |
| 2022-01-10 | @ | Claflin | W | 77 - 70 |
| 2022-01-12 | @ | Saint Augustine's | W | 69 - 60 |
| 2022-01-13 | vs | Newman | - | Preview |
| 2022-01-15 | vs | Central Okla. | L | 55 - 82 |
| 2022-01-15 | @ | Bowie St. | L | 76 - 82 |
| 2022-01-19 | vs | Elizabeth City St. | W | 67 - 57 |
| 2022-01-20 | @ | Rogers St. | L | 51 - 72 |
| 2022-01-22 | @ | Northeastern St. | L | 50 - 59 |
| 2022-01-22 | @ | Virginia Union | L | 90 - 97 |
| 2022-01-26 | vs | Shaw | W | 68 - 58 |
| 2022-01-27 | @ | Northwest Mo. St. | L | 63 - 96 |
| 2022-01-29 | @ | Missouri Western | L | 58 - 65 |
| 2022-01-29 | @ | Virginia St. | W | 65 - 56 |
| 2022-01-31 | @ | Neb.-Kearney | L | 69 - 87 |
| 2022-01-31 | @ | Fayetteville St. | L | 52 - 59 |
| 2022-02-02 | vs | Livingstone | L | 63 - 71 |
| 2022-02-05 | vs | Pittsburg St. | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-07 | vs | Mo. Southern St. | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-09 | @ | Elizabeth City St. | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-12 | vs | Virginia Union | L | 71 - 79 |
| 2022-02-12 | @ | Emporia St. | L | 71 - 90 |
| 2022-02-14 | @ | Fort Hays St. | L | 52 - 66 |
| 2022-02-16 | @ | Shaw | W | 96 - 90 |
| 2022-02-17 | vs | Fort Hays St. | L | 35 - 73 |
| 2022-02-19 | vs | Neb.-Kearney | L | 59 - 80 |
| 2022-02-19 | vs | Virginia St. | W | 74 - 73 |
| 2022-02-21 | vs | Newman | W | 67 - 62 |
| 2022-02-24 | vs | Livingstone | L | 89 - 91 |
| 2022-02-24 | @ | Newman | L | 76 - 89 |
| 2022-02-26 | vs | Central Mo. | W | 89 - 79 |
2022 Roster
No roster data available for this season.