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Lincoln (CA)

Also known as: Lincoln (CA)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2021 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 874 (#549) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -0.1 (#332) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.017 (#614) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -19.8 More → 0.093 (#626) AdjNet -19.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -19.6 More → 0.090 (#626) AdjNet -19.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 88.8 More → 0.169 (#653) AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 88.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 71.5 More → 0.481 (#344) AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 71.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.433 (#373) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.430 (#374) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 71 | GP 47 More → 897 (#370) RD 71 | GP 47

2021 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2020-11-17 vs Salem (WV) W 99 - 78
2020-11-21 vs Central Mo. W 86 - 80
2020-11-23 @ Bluefield St. W 111 - 92
2020-11-28 vs Mo. Southern St. W 76 - 68
2020-12-01 @ Morgan St. L 94 - 102
2020-12-03 @ Missouri Western L 73 - 89
2020-12-05 @ Northwest Mo. St. L 54 - 84
2020-12-08 @ La Salle L 62 - 80
2020-12-10 vs Pittsburg St. W 76 - 55
2020-12-12 @ Salem (WV) W 78 - 73
2020-12-17 @ Emporia St. W 82 - 78
2021-01-07 vs Neb.-Kearney W 67 - 60
2021-01-09 vs Fort Hays St. W 76 - 64
2021-01-21 vs Rogers St. L 80 - 82
2021-01-23 vs Northeastern St. W 91 - 76
2021-01-28 vs Northwest Mo. St. L 74 - 76
2021-01-30 vs Missouri Western W 95 - 74
2021-02-02 @ Central Okla. L 76 - 87
2021-02-04 @ Mo. Southern St. L 66 - 72
2021-02-06 @ Pittsburg St. L 77 - 85
2021-02-09 @ Washburn L 72 - 87
2021-02-11 @ Newman W 80 - 73
2021-02-13 vs Emporia St. W 84 - 58
2021-02-18 @ Fort Hays St. L 67 - 84
2021-02-20 @ Neb.-Kearney W 68 - 65
2021-02-25 vs Newman W 80 - 62
2021-02-27 @ Central Mo. L 62 - 81
2021-03-03 @ Missouri Western L 76 - 84

2021 Roster

No roster data available for this season.