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Liberty

Season: 2026 2024 2023 2022 2021 2018 2017 2016 2014 2013
Also known as: Liberty
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1065 (#112) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1097 (#94) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1042 (#165) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +31.9 (#30) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.998 (#73) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +49.5 More → 0.999 (#47) NetEff +49.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +46.9 More → 0.996 (#49) AdjNet +46.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +46.1 More → 0.996 (#51) AdjNet +46.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 41.6 More → 0.926 (#60) AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 41.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 53.8 More → 0.779 (#38) AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 53.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.943 (#13) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.926 (#13) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1080 (#166) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 vs Frostburg St. W 78 - 49
2025-11-26 vs UVA Wise W 80 - 35

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Emmy Stout - 2 20.4 14.5 9.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.0 10.5 13.5 - - - 57.1 0 62.5 - 59.1 57.1
Lynn Peters - 2 19.6 12.5 6.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 6.5 11.0 - - - 76.9 0 100.0 - 82.2 76.9
Emma Leon - 2 18.4 9.5 1.5 2.0 2.5 0.5 1.0 6.0 9.0 - - - 58.3 42.9 66.7 - 71.3 70.8
Avery Mills - 2 20.2 9.5 4.5 3.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 12.0 4.5 - - - 29.2 26.3 0 - 39.6 39.6
Claudia Acin - 1 26.0 9.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 9.0 7.0 - - - 33.3 42.9 0 - 50.0 50.0
JaKayla Thompson - 2 17.8 9.0 2.5 2.5 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.5 10.5 -3 -0.2 -2.0 54.5 66.7 100.0 -0.45 70.5 63.6
Lydie Mwamba - 2 18.3 7.5 4.5 1.0 0.5 1.5 0.5 8.0 6.5 - - - 37.5 11.1 100.0 - 44.4 40.6
Ify Nwaobi - 2 19.1 5.5 9.5 2.0 1.5 1.5 4.0 7.0 9.0 - - - 28.6 0.0 75.0 - 34.9 28.6
Elisabeth Aegisdottir - 2 23.3 3.5 4.0 2.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.5 2.5 - - - 20.0 14.3 0 - 23.3 23.3
Zeynep Avci - 2 13.4 2.0 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Maleah Alexander - 2 16.6 1.0 3.0 3.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.0 5.5 38 2.2 35.5 25.0 0.0 0 0.02 25.0 25.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG