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Liberty

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Liberty Flames
Program History
Coach: Dale Layer

2013 Team Stats (2 games)

69.0
PPG
70.0
Opp
-1.0
Margin
43.1%
FG%
46.8%
3P%
77.8%
FT%
31.0
RPG
15.5
APG
13.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
63.7
Adj PPG
70.3
Adj Opp PPG
#269
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 893 (#228) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 827 (#294) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More → 1018 (#142) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → -7.3 (#269) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → -4.1 (#225) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.365 (#225) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.6 More → 0.209 (#267) AdjNet -11.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.6 More → 0.206 (#268) AdjNet -11.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 70.3 More → 0.354 (#269) AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 70.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 69.1 More → 0.492 (#179) AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 69.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.368 (#238) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.395 (#223) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 118 | GP 33 More → 881 (#248) RD 118 | GP 33

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 @ Richmond Spiders L 42 - 84
2012-11-12 vs William & Mary Tribe L 59 - 71
2012-11-14 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 59 - 68
2012-11-19 @ UC Irvine Anteaters L 46 - 64
2012-11-20 @ Sam Houston Bearkats L 50 - 64
2012-11-21 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles L 56 - 74
2012-11-29 vs Morgan State Bears L 62 - 67
2012-12-02 vs Georgia State Panthers L 66 - 67
2012-12-04 vs Southern Virginia Knights W 76 - 51
2012-12-15 @ Howard Bison L 53 - 60
2012-12-18 @ Iona Gaels L 69 - 87
2012-12-21 vs Milligan Buffaloes W 81 - 63
2012-12-28 vs Union Commonwealth (KY) Bulldogs W 104 - 67
2012-12-31 @ Western Carolina Catamounts W 63 - 62
2013-01-05 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs L 69 - 83
2013-01-09 @ VMI Keydets L 69 - 82
2013-01-12 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 64 - 56
2013-01-16 @ High Point Panthers L 72 - 77
2013-01-19 @ Presbyterian Blue Hose L 60 - 68
2013-01-22 vs Longwood Lancers W 74 - 47
2013-01-26 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers L 75 - 79
2013-01-29 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 89 - 72
2013-02-02 @ Winthrop Eagles L 56 - 66
2013-02-05 vs Radford Highlanders W 75 - 70
2013-02-09 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs L 68 - 71
2013-02-13 @ Campbell Fighting Camels W 82 - 80
2013-02-16 vs High Point Panthers L 68 - 73
2013-02-19 @ Longwood Lancers L 101 - 102
2013-02-23 vs Austin Peay Governors W 79 - 73
2013-02-26 vs VMI Keydets L 66 - 83
2013-03-02 @ Radford Highlanders W 73 - 56
2013-03-05 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 78 - 61
2013-03-07 @ High Point Panthers W 61 - 60
2013-03-09 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 65 - 62
2013-03-10 @ Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 87 - 76
2013-03-19 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies L 72 - 73

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Sanders J. Sanders G 36 30.2 14.4 3.9 3.6 0.9 0.1 2.6 2.1 18.2 -5 22 -0.2 -0.3 39.5 47.8 65.7 2.21 282.8 46.7
Davon Marshall Davon Marshall G 36 32.2 13.6 2.1 2.8 0.8 0.1 2.0 2.3 14.9 -7 22 -0.3 -0.4 48.8 47.5 90.9 2.68 261.5 66.1
Tavares Speaks Tavares Speaks G 36 31.2 13.2 3.4 1.2 1.2 0.1 2.1 2.1 14.8 -50 22 -2.3 -3.2 46.8 62.5 81.2 -2.75 260.8 50.0
Tomasz Gielo Tomasz Gielo F 30 23.3 7.3 4.5 1.0 0.3 0.5 1.7 1.0 10.8 13 19 0.7 1.3 20.7 10.0 25.0 -0.47 357.6 22.4
Casey Roberts Casey Roberts G 36 16.6 5.4 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.6 1.2 6.6 -29 22 -1.3 -3.7 48.9 50.0 66.7 -1.74 194.9 63.3
JR Coronado JR Coronado F 36 24.4 4.9 8.2 0.6 0.4 0.7 1.2 0.7 12.9 -47 22 -2.1 -3.8 53.8 0 44.4 -2.97 262.4 53.8
Joel Vander Pol Joel Vander Pol C 26 14.0 4.5 4.8 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.1 0.3 9.1 -24 16 -1.5 -4.5 0.0 0 37.5 -1.87 503.5 0.0
Jarred Jourdan Jarred Jourdan - 6 18.3 4.5 1.8 1.2 0.3 0.3 1.7 2.2 4.3 - - - - 38.5 50.0 0 - 103.8 42.3
Andrew Smith Andrew Smith F 36 14.5 3.5 3.1 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 7.0 -71 22 -3.2 -9.7 52.6 0 92.3 -6.25 256.9 52.6
Chad Donley Chad Donley G 30 9.6 2.9 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.8 3.5 -52 19 -2.7 -14.2 28.0 23.8 0 -3.99 174.0 38.0
Sommy Ogukwe Sommy Ogukwe F 30 7.5 1.1 1.8 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.2 2.9 0 18 0.0 0.0 50.0 0 50.0 -0.84 212.6 50.0
K. Assinesi K. Assinesi G 12 8.2 0.9 0.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.7 0.2 1.9 -8 6 -1.3 -6.6 33.3 50.0 75.0 -0.92 115.5 50.0
Larry Taylor Larry Taylor - 25 5.1 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.1 1.0 - - - - 50.0 0.0 0.0 - 208.3 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG