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2013-01-05

Model Predictions

Model UNC Asheville Bulldogs Liberty Flames Spread Result
Elo 35.2% 64.8% +3.4 โœ— (17.4 off)
Bradley-Terry 55.7% 44.3% - โœ“
Margin 58.1% 41.9% -1.8 โœ“ (12.2 off)
Pythagorean 55.4% 44.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 74.4% 25.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 74.6% 25.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 53.7% 46.3% - โœ“

Actual: Liberty Flames -14 (69-83). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keith Hornsby * 36 10-17 2-5 5-5 6 3 2 1 1 27 21 -
Will Weeks * 33 5-9 0-0 5-9 8 3 2 0 1 15 18 -
Jeremy Atkinson * 29 4-8 0-0 4-6 9 6 0 0 3 12 16 -
Trent Meyer * 26 0-5 0-3 2-2 2 4 2 0 1 2 4 -
Jon Nwannunu * 25 2-3 0-0 3-4 5 1 2 1 3 7 10 -
D.J. Cunningham 23 5-9 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 4 0 10 8 -
Marcus Neely 17 3-4 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 7 6 -
Sam Hughes 11 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 3 0 -

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Davon Marshall * 34 5-15 2-7 0-0 4 4 2 0 2 12 5 -
John-Caleb Sanders * 33 5-10 3-4 6-6 2 3 0 0 0 19 14 -
Tavares Speaks * 32 6-15 0-1 3-6 3 1 0 0 6 15 -2 -
Tomasz Gielo * 19 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 5 2 -
JR Coronado * 16 1-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
Joel Vander Pol 20 3-3 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 0 1 7 12 -
Casey Roberts 16 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 0 -
Andrew Smith 13 1-3 0-0 2-4 4 1 1 0 0 4 7 -
Chad Donley 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Sommy Ogukwe 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Larry Taylor 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter