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Lewis

Also known as: Lewis
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2020 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 927 (#373) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1053 (#237) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 863 (#494) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 873 (#634) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -2.3 (#217) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -2.5 (#401) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#24) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.172 (#603) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +61.3 More → 0.999 (#39) AdjNet +61.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -13.7 More → 0.172 (#503) AdjNet -13.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +60.8 More → 1.000 (#38) AdjNet +60.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.6 More → 0.166 (#501) AdjNet -13.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.7 | AdjD 44.5 More → 0.970 (#52) AdjO 82.7 | AdjD 44.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 67.8 More → 0.321 (#493) AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 67.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.6 | AdjD 66.0 More → 0.444 (#491) AdjO 63.6 | AdjD 66.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.402 (#454) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.397 (#459) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 101 | GP 22 More → 783 (#499) RD 101 | GP 22

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-11-15 vs Northwest (WA) W 85 - 69
2019-11-16 @ Walla Walla L 51 - 69
2019-11-21 @ Notre Dame de Namur - Preview
2019-11-23 vs Chapman L 46 - 85
2019-11-30 vs Warner Pacific L 40 - 78
2019-12-01 vs Augsburg L 50 - 78
2019-12-07 @ Willamette L 69 - 77
2019-12-28 @ Redlands L 46 - 66
2019-12-29 @ Pomona-Pitzer L 48 - 85
2019-12-30 @ La Verne L 54 - 79
2020-01-04 vs Pacific (OR) L 56 - 69
2020-01-10 @ Whitman L 47 - 78
2020-01-11 @ Whitworth L 48 - 67
2020-01-17 @ Linfield L 73 - 82
2020-01-18 vs Puget Sound W 64 - 60
2020-01-24 @ Pacific Lutheran L 45 - 66
2020-01-25 vs George Fox L 40 - 63
2020-01-28 vs Willamette L 60 - 67
2020-01-31 @ Pacific (OR) L 54 - 61
2020-02-07 vs Whitworth L 57 - 60
2020-02-08 vs Whitman L 58 - 73
2020-02-14 @ Puget Sound L 54 - 65
2020-02-15 vs Linfield W 79 - 71
2020-02-21 @ George Fox L 55 - 89
2020-02-22 vs Pacific Lutheran L 71 - 72

2020 Roster

No roster data available for this season.