Lewis
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2016 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 927 (#373) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1053 (#237) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 863 (#494) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 873 (#634) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.3 (#217) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.5 (#401) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#24) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.172 (#603) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.999 (#39) | AdjNet +61.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.172 (#503) | AdjNet -13.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 1.000 (#38) | AdjNet +60.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.166 (#501) | AdjNet -13.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.970 (#52) | AdjO 82.7 | AdjD 44.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.321 (#493) | AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 67.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.444 (#491) | AdjO 63.6 | AdjD 66.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.401 (#454) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.396 (#459) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 786 (#497) | RD 102 | GP 22 |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-13 | vs | New Hope Christian | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-14 | vs | Cal Lutheran | L | 65 - 79 |
| 2015-11-19 | @ | Corban | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-24 | vs | Warner Pacific | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-27 | @ | Colorado Col. | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-28 | vs | Augsburg | L | 46 - 69 |
| 2015-12-04 | @ | Whitworth | L | 42 - 67 |
| 2015-12-05 | @ | Whitman | L | 60 - 61 |
| 2015-12-29 | @ | Claremont-M-S | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-30 | @ | Pomona-Pitzer | L | 68 - 75 |
| 2016-01-01 | @ | Vanguard | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-08 | vs | George Fox | L | 44 - 59 |
| 2016-01-09 | @ | Puget Sound | L | 56 - 75 |
| 2016-01-12 | @ | Linfield | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-15 | @ | Pacific Lutheran | L | 49 - 56 |
| 2016-01-22 | @ | Pacific (OR) | L | 53 - 64 |
| 2016-01-23 | vs | Willamette | L | 57 - 64 |
| 2016-01-29 | vs | Whitman | L | 56 - 74 |
| 2016-01-30 | vs | Whitworth | L | 52 - 55 |
| 2016-02-05 | vs | Puget Sound | L | 62 - 80 |
| 2016-02-06 | @ | George Fox | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-09 | vs | Linfield | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-13 | vs | Pacific Lutheran | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-19 | @ | Willamette | W | 73 - 64 |
| 2016-02-20 | vs | Pacific (OR) | L | 63 - 68 |
2016 Roster
No roster data available for this season.