Lewis
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2015 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 927 (#373) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1053 (#237) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 863 (#494) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 873 (#634) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.3 (#217) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.5 (#401) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#24) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.172 (#603) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.999 (#39) | AdjNet +61.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.172 (#503) | AdjNet -13.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 1.000 (#38) | AdjNet +60.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.166 (#501) | AdjNet -13.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.970 (#52) | AdjO 82.7 | AdjD 44.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.321 (#493) | AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 67.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.444 (#491) | AdjO 63.6 | AdjD 66.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.401 (#454) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.396 (#459) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 786 (#497) | RD 102 | GP 22 |
2015 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-11-15 | vs | Schreiner | W | 51 - 44 |
| 2014-11-16 | vs | Montclair St. | L | 48 - 53 |
| 2014-11-19 | vs | Corban | - | Preview |
| 2014-11-25 | @ | Warner Pacific | - | Preview |
| 2014-12-05 | @ | Occidental | W | 64 - 58 |
| 2014-12-06 | @ | Caltech | W | 68 - 46 |
| 2014-12-20 | @ | Idaho | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2014-12-21 | @ | UC Santa Cruz | L | 39 - 66 |
| 2014-12-22 | vs | Calvin | L | 44 - 58 |
| 2015-01-02 | vs | Whitman | L | 48 - 64 |
| 2015-01-03 | vs | Whitworth | L | 35 - 52 |
| 2015-01-09 | @ | Pacific (OR) | - | Preview |
| 2015-01-10 | vs | Pacific Lutheran | - | Preview |
| 2015-01-13 | vs | Willamette | - | Preview |
| 2015-01-16 | @ | Puget Sound | - | Preview |
| 2015-01-23 | @ | Linfield | - | Preview |
| 2015-01-24 | vs | George Fox | - | Preview |
| 2015-01-30 | @ | Whitworth | L | 46 - 56 |
| 2015-01-31 | @ | Whitman | L | 52 - 56 |
| 2015-02-06 | @ | Pacific Lutheran | W | 58 - 43 |
| 2015-02-07 | vs | Pacific (OR) | L | 53 - 76 |
| 2015-02-10 | @ | Willamette | W | 53 - 46 |
| 2015-02-14 | vs | Puget Sound | - | Preview |
| 2015-02-20 | @ | George Fox | L | 43 - 74 |
| 2015-02-21 | vs | Linfield | - | Preview |
2015 Roster
No roster data available for this season.