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Lenoir Rhyne

Season: 2022 2019 2013 2011 2008 2007 2006 2005
Also known as: Lenoir Rhyne Bears
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1024 (#261) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1057 (#274) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 996 (#345) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +0.5 (#492) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -6.4 (#430) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 69.7 More → 0.474 (#359) AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 69.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.382 (#403) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.400 (#394) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 931 (#327) RD 350 | GP 1

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-12-04 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 66 - 90

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
S. Wilson S. Wilson - 1 25.0 12.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 14.0 -43 -1.7 -4.7 0 0 0 0.13 0 0
J. Johnson J. Johnson G 1 28.0 9.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 14.0 -43 -8.6 -31.6 0 0 0 1.56 0 0
Nas Tyson Nas Tyson G 1 22.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.28 0 0
Tyson McClain Tyson McClain G 1 18.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.33 0 0
P. Joseph P. Joseph - 1 8.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 -2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Marcus Metcalf Marcus Metcalf G 1 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Percy Fyle Percy Fyle C 1 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Elijah Shabazz Elijah Shabazz F 1 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Cooper Fowler Cooper Fowler C 1 8.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.2 0 0
Malik LeGania Malik LeGania G 1 17.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.2 0 0
Damion Medwinter Damion Medwinter F 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Tim Steele Tim Steele F 1 10.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.06 0 0
Marcus Owens Castrillo Marcus Owens Castrillo F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Colby Beeker Colby Beeker G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG