🐻⬇️🏀

Lehman

Also known as: Lehman
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1061 (#158) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 992 (#389) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1114 (#72) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -9.2 (#247) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -1.4 (#368) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.754 (#315) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -10.8 More → 0.181 (#51) NetEff -10.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -13.3 More → 0.177 (#559) AdjNet -13.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.8 More → 0.166 (#562) AdjNet -13.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 77.3 More → 0.284 (#564) AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 77.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 68.4 More → 0.592 (#226) AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 68.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.508 (#387) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.538 (#376) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 23 More → 1046 (#290) RD 100 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Scranton L 55 - 57
2025-11-08 vs Neumann W 74 - 47
2025-11-11 vs Purchase W 73 - 66
2025-11-15 @ Trinity (CT) L 39 - 101
2025-11-19 @ UMSV W 78 - 58
2025-11-22 vs Albertus Magnus L 57 - 65
2025-11-25 vs Sarah Lawrence L 66 - 67
2025-11-29 vs Gallaudet W 92 - 70
2025-12-02 @ St. Joseph's (Brkln) L 56 - 65
2025-12-06 @ John Jay W 69 - 66
2025-12-11 vs Brooklyn W 82 - 54
2025-12-19 @ FDU L 42 - 76
2025-12-30 vs Arcadia L 74 - 75
2026-01-03 @ Centenary (NJ) W 81 - 52
2026-01-07 @ Medgar Evers W 92 - 65
2026-01-09 @ CCNY W 69 - 50
2026-01-14 vs York (NY) W 91 - 63
2026-01-16 vs Hunter W 62 - 54
2026-01-21 @ Baruch W 61 - 52
2026-01-23 @ Brooklyn W 91 - 65
2026-01-31 vs Medgar Evers W 79 - 56
2026-02-03 vs CCNY W 76 - 73
2026-02-06 @ York (NY) W 98 - 63

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ricardo Dixon - 23 29.3 12.5 8.8 1.6 1.0 1.6 2.5 11.2 11.8 79 4.0 20.6 42.4 25.6 58.4 2.01 47.8 44.6
Amar Ndiaye - 22 28.0 11.0 11.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.5 8.0 16.5 108 5.4 32.2 54.3 27.3 51.6 1.53 55.8 55.1
Tyler Harts - 21 31.3 9.6 4.9 1.9 1.4 0.5 2.4 9.4 6.4 32 1.6 7.7 34.8 18.2 71.6 0.76 43.2 36.4
Kofi Mends - 21 22.8 8.4 3.5 1.4 1.0 0.5 1.6 7.0 6.3 76 3.6 26.8 43.2 38.6 63.0 2.15 56.1 54.8
Jayden Norris - 17 14.6 8.1 2.7 1.1 0.8 0.1 1.8 6.4 4.5 11 1.6 29.2 44.0 33.9 64.7 -0.44 55.3 52.8
Zay Marte - 21 21.1 7.9 1.8 1.2 1.1 0.1 1.3 6.7 4.0 60 3.0 21.2 44.3 24.0 74.4 2.77 52.5 48.6
Kesean Tracey - 23 28.7 6.8 3.2 3.8 1.9 0.2 2.6 6.2 7.1 116 5.8 31.9 35.9 30.0 72.2 1.32 47.1 41.2
Manny Barkor - 23 10.0 6.1 4.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 1.1 5.0 5.2 64 3.4 46.8 49.1 14.3 50.0 -0.1 50.8 49.6
Jaden Barwicki - 13 8.4 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 2.7 -0.1 -13 -1.4 -36.8 28.6 6.7 50.0 0.04 30.7 30.0
Daniel McCollum - 13 5.8 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 1.6 0.8 -7 -0.8 -14.6 38.1 20.0 44.4 0.16 44.1 42.9
Marcus Vincenti - 15 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.3 -18 -1.6 -55.7 41.7 0.0 50.0 -0.56 45.7 41.7
Matthew Quinones - 13 5.7 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.0 0.8 1.0 1.4 43 3.9 81.6 30.8 0.0 66.7 2.19 34.9 30.8
Raheim Azeez - 13 2.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 -0.2 -13 -1.6 -56.0 14.3 0 33.3 -1.1 18.0 14.3
Billy Donovan - 3 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3 0.6 5.3 0 0 0 -1.42 0 0
Leuri Sosa - 1 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG