Lees-McRae
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 889 (#474) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 868 (#478) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 929 (#508) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -10.3 (#336) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -10.4 (#463) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.513 (#327) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.082 (#281) | NetEff -23.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.485 (#421) | AdjNet -0.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.486 (#423) | AdjNet -0.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.488 (#428) | AdjO 81.2 | AdjD 81.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.346 (#506) | AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 78.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.301 (#467) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.308 (#472) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 869 (#401) | RD 94 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | vs | UVA Wise | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Carson-Newman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Greensboro | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Bluefield Univ. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Chowan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | North Greenville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | Livingstone | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | King (TN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Southern Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Belmont Abbey | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Barry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Fla. Southern | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Lincoln Memorial | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Francis Marion | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Converse | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Barton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | King (TN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Mount Olive | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-19 | vs | Erskine | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Ferrum | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Shorter | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | North Greenville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Young Harris | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Cleveland | - | 1 | 35.7 | 25.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 15.0 | 22.0 | 62 | 3.0 | 38.5 | 60.0 | 25.0 | 66.7 | -0.49 | 65.9 | 63.3 |
| Justin Payne | - | 1 | 27.2 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 100 | 4.8 | 89.0 | 55.6 | 66.7 | 75.0 | 2.32 | 79.0 | 77.8 |
| Dwight Canady, Jr. | - | 22 | 31.8 | 15.4 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 12.0 | 7.3 | 26 | 2.0 | 28.4 | 41.8 | 36.8 | 74.7 | 1.87 | 56.9 | 53.2 |
| Cameron Bleshoy | - | 1 | 35.7 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 17.0 | 90 | 4.3 | 56.6 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 62.5 | 2.78 | 93.1 | 112.5 |
| Isajah Deburgo | - | 22 | 23.3 | 11.1 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 8.6 | 7.8 | -120 | -5.7 | -126.6 | 43.4 | 34.5 | 75.6 | -1.23 | 54.4 | 48.4 |
| Cedric Patterson | - | 17 | 20.6 | 11.0 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 8.6 | 6.4 | -23 | -1.6 | -47.5 | 37.4 | 28.6 | 83.1 | 0.39 | 52.5 | 43.5 |
| Chase McDuffie | - | 21 | 20.8 | 9.3 | 4.0 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 7.5 | 5.9 | -75 | -3.8 | -124.2 | 51.3 | 16.7 | 65.9 | -3.18 | 55.4 | 53.2 |
| Nigel Okwakol | - | 17 | 24.6 | 9.1 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 6.6 | 7.3 | -117 | -7.8 | -85.0 | 50.4 | 36.7 | 81.1 | -3.87 | 59.9 | 55.3 |
| Yerald Mieses | - | 19 | 24.4 | 7.5 | 5.3 | 4.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 6.4 | 9.1 | -63 | -3.5 | -28.1 | 40.2 | 35.9 | 67.4 | 0.01 | 50.3 | 45.9 |
| Justin Bramao | - | 22 | 21.2 | 6.2 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 4.6 | 7.3 | -61 | -2.9 | -40.7 | 55.9 | 40.0 | 45.7 | -0.84 | 56.0 | 56.9 |
| Kelvin Hunter | - | 1 | 28.4 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 52 | 2.5 | 73.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.82 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Daniel Agu | - | 21 | 14.3 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 5.0 | -51 | -2.7 | -167.7 | 50.0 | 20.0 | 65.2 | -0.25 | 55.2 | 50.6 |
| Kenny Vera | - | 8 | 8.7 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3.4 | 1.9 | - | - | - | 37.0 | 28.6 | 83.3 | - | 52.3 | 48.1 |
| Sean Standifer | - | 8 | 6.7 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2.4 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 25.0 | 85.7 | - | 61.4 | 46.7 |
| Ira Wilson | - | 21 | 12.4 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 4.7 | -14 | -0.7 | -11.6 | 47.9 | 0.0 | 92.9 | -1.9 | 54.5 | 47.9 |
| Dylan Casado | - | 1 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Kwynsie Pittsnogle | - | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jack Carter | - | 8 | 8.1 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 2.4 | -35 | -3.9 | -60.7 | 45.5 | 0 | 55.6 | 0.06 | 50.1 | 45.5 |
| Caden Kreger | - | 12 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 29.4 | 33.3 | 42.9 | 2.81 | 44.8 | 44.1 |
| Gavin Bullock | - | 19 | 9.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.3 | -25 | -1.7 | -458.0 | 35.7 | 14.3 | 50.0 | -0.06 | 41.2 | 39.3 |
| Brent Randleman | - | 10 | 7.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | -5 | -1.7 | -116.5 | 22.2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 22.2 | 22.2 |
| Brayden Baker | - | 1 | 12.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -1.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.65 | 0 | 0 |
| Roderick Gardner | - | 1 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -5 | -0.7 | -6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.86 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Kitchings | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG