Lees-McRae
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 804 (#265) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 839 (#261) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 929 (#508) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.7 (#286) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -10.4 (#463) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.513 (#161) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.082 (#274) | NetEff -23.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.485 (#234) | AdjNet -0.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.486 (#236) | AdjNet -0.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.488 (#238) | AdjO 81.2 | AdjD 81.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.346 (#506) | AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 78.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.301 (#467) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.308 (#472) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 869 (#401) | RD 94 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | vs | UVA Wise | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Carson-Newman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Greensboro | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Bluefield Univ. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Chowan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | North Greenville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | Livingstone | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | King (TN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Southern Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Belmont Abbey | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Barry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Fla. Southern | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Lincoln Memorial | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Francis Marion | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | King (TN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Mount Olive | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-19 | vs | Erskine | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Ferrum | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Shorter | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-14 | vs | Emmanuel (GA) | L | 78 - 80 |
| 2026-02-16 | @ | UNC Pembroke | L | 67 - 81 |
| 2026-02-18 | @ | Erskine | W | 46 - 45 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | Converse | L | 87 - 89 |
| 2026-02-25 | vs | Belmont Abbey | L | 72 - 83 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.