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Lees McRae

Season: 2022 2014 2013 2012 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005
Also known as: Lees McRae Bobcats
Program History

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 798 (#1057) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 842 (#1038) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 987 (#421) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +2.5 (#513) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -25.1 (#573) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 66.8 More → 0.406 (#509) AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 66.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.159 (#553) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.193 (#554) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 844 (#508) RD 350 | GP 1

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-01-09 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans L 47 - 86

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Sepokas D. Sepokas G 1 22.0 8.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 11.0 2.0 - - - 27.3 0.0 66.7 -0.38 32.5 27.3
A. Lamot A. Lamot G 1 25.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 -4.0 - - - 20.0 0.0 100.0 -0.7 27.6 20.0
D. Tillman D. Tillman - 1 27.0 5.0 7.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 8.0 -12 -2.4 -8.0 33.3 0 50.0 -0.04 36.3 33.3
J. Urbina J. Urbina - 1 9.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG