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Lake Superior St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Lake Superior St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 998 (#185) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1052 (#159) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1044 (#135) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +14.9 (#50) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +17.2 (#81) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.785 (#167) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +34.6 More → 0.975 (#131) NetEff +34.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +25.2 More → 0.948 (#79) AdjNet +25.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +25.4 More → 0.950 (#79) AdjNet +25.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 85.7 | AdjD 67.0 More → 0.846 (#82) AdjO 85.7 | AdjD 67.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 84.6 | AdjD 70.6 More → 0.780 (#27) AdjO 84.6 | AdjD 70.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.812 (#59) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.801 (#60) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 97 | GP 23 More → 1090 (#128) RD 97 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Lake Erie L 92 - 96
2025-11-15 @ Northwood W 83 - 81
2025-11-21 vs St. Cloud St. L 84 - 90
2025-11-22 @ Minn. Duluth L 69 - 72
2025-11-26 @ Gannon W 99 - 87
2025-11-29 vs Lawrence Tech W 93 - 56
2025-12-04 @ Grand Valley St. L 79 - 85
2025-12-06 @ Davenport L 94 - 99
2025-12-15 vs Rochester Christian W 89 - 65
2025-12-17 vs Kuyper W 110 - 58
2025-12-19 vs Algoma (CAN) W 106 - 50
2026-01-02 vs Purdue Northwest W 85 - 68
2026-01-04 vs Wayne St. (MI) L 71 - 77
2026-01-08 @ Wis.-Parkside L 72 - 79
2026-01-10 @ Roosevelt W 59 - 52
2026-01-15 vs Northern Mich. L 74 - 77
2026-01-17 vs Michigan Tech L 83 - 84
2026-01-22 @ Saginaw Valley W 71 - 65
2026-01-24 @ Ferris St. L 84 - 86
2026-01-29 vs Roosevelt W 98 - 67
2026-01-31 vs Wis.-Parkside W 106 - 65
2026-02-05 @ Michigan Tech L 76 - 96
2026-02-07 @ Northern Mich. W 71 - 68

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Marcus Tomashek - 1 31.6 36.0 4.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 18.0 25.0 32 1.3 4.6 61.1 60.0 80.0 0.15 80.4 77.8
Dylan Kuehl - 2 34.1 28.5 9.5 0.5 0.0 2.5 5.0 16.0 20.0 186 7.8 34.0 65.6 66.7 63.6 2.77 77.4 78.1
Owen Hardy - 1 33.0 22.0 11.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 23.0 -23 -1.2 -6.9 81.8 0 66.7 0.14 80.6 81.8
Caleb Siwek - 1 34.8 22.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 14.0 10.0 71 3.0 11.4 50.0 57.1 100.0 -0.51 69.8 64.3
Parker Day - 1 28.1 17.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 12.0 -65 -3.0 -14.8 36.4 33.3 80.0 -1.45 55.2 40.9
Omar Suleiman - 16 30.2 16.4 2.7 2.2 0.8 0.4 2.1 12.1 8.4 -20 -1.0 -3.7 44.6 37.2 83.1 -1.57 60.1 55.4
Jackson Fowlkes - 1 25.6 16.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 13.0 11.0 59 2.5 15.2 46.2 20.0 75.0 1.08 54.2 50.0
Jamison Eklund - 1 28.9 16.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 12.0 12.0 -54 -2.6 -11.2 50.0 60.0 50.0 3.42 62.1 62.5
Harrison Sorrelle - 16 28.5 14.8 4.0 1.7 1.0 0.1 1.2 8.7 11.7 19 0.9 4.0 50.4 43.5 87.5 2.69 70.6 64.7
Dontez Scott II - 1 29.6 14.0 4.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 14.0 -93 -4.9 -20.3 44.4 50.0 75.0 0.54 65.1 61.1
Ty Fernholz - 1 20.1 12.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 7.0 -62 -2.6 -14.6 57.1 57.1 0 -1.05 85.7 85.7
Will Young II - 1 31.7 12.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 13.0 2.0 28 1.6 26.2 38.5 20.0 100.0 2.37 44.6 42.3
Bennett Basich - 2 29.1 11.5 5.5 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.5 12.0 7.5 15 0.8 3.4 37.5 28.6 100.0 1.42 45.4 41.7
Noah Paulson - 1 31.1 11.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 11.0 66 2.8 12.7 66.7 50.0 100.0 0.02 79.9 75.0
Nino Carter-Smith - 16 26.3 10.2 3.4 3.8 1.6 0.1 1.8 7.7 9.6 -13 -0.7 -3.2 50.4 36.8 62.5 -1.7 58.0 56.1
Xavier Thomas - 1 28.4 10.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 7.0 -28 -1.6 -6.6 44.4 25.0 50.0 0.29 50.6 50.0
Chang Hoth - 1 28.0 10.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 7.0 2 0.1 0.6 40.0 25.0 50.0 -1.4 46.0 45.0
Bryce Moore - 1 20.0 10.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 8.0 58 3.1 18.6 60.0 50.0 60.0 -3.87 69.4 70.0
John Simpson - 1 19.6 10.0 9.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 15.0 -13 -0.7 -4.5 75.0 100.0 100.0 -3.38 94.0 87.5
Brayden Szamrej - 1 30.7 10.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 11.0 6.0 -73 -3.6 -21.3 36.4 20.0 100.0 -0.14 43.7 40.9
Dawson Nordgaard - 1 23.5 9.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 15.0 24 1.0 5.6 100.0 0 71.4 0.64 88.6 100.0
Aidan Duran - 1 20.6 9.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 6.0 11 0.6 3.9 50.0 33.3 50.0 1.54 58.0 58.3
Nate Abel - 1 37.6 8.0 10.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 12.0 19 0.8 3.0 60.0 66.7 0 1.25 80.0 80.0
John Sweeney - 1 11.9 8.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 7.0 -55 -2.5 -22.9 100.0 100.0 0 1.33 133.3 133.3
Karter Richards - 16 16.8 7.5 2.4 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.8 4.9 6.3 38 1.8 14.5 60.3 42.9 80.0 0.92 67.4 64.1
Jackson Dudek - 2 30.2 7.5 6.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 7.0 72 3.0 18.1 31.2 27.3 66.7 1.76 43.3 40.6
Brooks Hinson - 2 24.1 7.5 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 6.5 105 4.6 31.4 40.0 25.0 100.0 0.47 59.3 45.0
Tyler Jamison - 15 19.1 7.2 4.3 2.3 2.1 0.2 1.3 4.7 10.1 -66 -3.7 -17.2 47.1 50.0 67.2 3.16 56.5 49.3
Jesse Napgezek - 1 15.6 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 1.0 69 3.0 23.7 50.0 0 50.0 -0.05 50.9 50.0
Joey Cabana - 1 23.0 7.0 5.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 6.0 -9 -0.5 -2.5 37.5 25.0 0 -0.3 43.8 43.8
Kole Hanson - 1 18.2 7.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 2.0 -5 -0.2 -1.1 16.7 25.0 100.0 0.13 45.1 25.0
Matt Thompson - 1 30.3 7.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 9.0 32 1.4 7.0 42.9 0.0 33.3 2.67 42.1 42.9
David Herron III - 4 9.1 6.0 2.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 4.5 4.0 88 3.8 14.6 50.0 33.3 50.0 1.4 58.1 58.3
Bryson Huckeby - 1 24.3 6.0 9.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 6.0 -107 -6.3 -41.7 30.0 0.0 0.0 -0.26 28.7 30.0
Marquese Josephs - 1 25.5 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 -2.0 -130 -7.2 -33.6 37.5 0 0 0.49 37.5 37.5
Triston Nichols - 1 27.6 6.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 10.0 -64 -3.6 -17.8 40.0 0.0 100.0 2.25 51.0 40.0
Trenton Taratuta - 1 12.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 1.0 -62 -3.1 -43.8 33.3 40.0 0 -1.87 50.0 50.0
Jamonte Smith - 1 11.5 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 98 4.9 25.3 50.0 50.0 0 4.05 75.0 75.0
Marcus Watson Jr. - 10 18.5 5.5 2.4 3.4 1.2 0.0 1.2 4.9 6.4 -91 -15.2 -162.1 49.0 25.0 33.3 1.54 48.3 50.0
Charlie Miller - 2 30.0 5.5 2.5 1.0 2.5 0.0 1.0 7.0 3.5 -16 -0.7 -4.4 28.6 20.0 100.0 0.87 38.1 35.7
Dominic Krzesowiak - 16 13.8 5.2 2.6 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.7 4.1 4.6 -22 -1.0 -14.1 46.2 40.0 66.7 -0.99 59.8 58.5
Peter Nwoke - 10 13.0 5.2 4.4 0.8 0.2 0.7 0.8 3.5 7.0 -37 -2.5 -34.2 54.3 0.0 73.7 -3.21 60.0 54.3
Cal Klesmit - 2 20.5 5.0 3.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 2.5 5.0 4.0 6 0.2 1.5 30.0 50.0 50.0 0.42 46.0 45.0
Gabe Smith - 1 21.4 5.0 8.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 10.0 -28 -1.2 -4.5 28.6 0.0 33.3 1.33 30.0 28.6
Justin Asi - 1 8.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 -7 -0.5 -5.9 66.7 50.0 0.0 0.26 72.7 83.3
Nick Katona - 1 19.3 5.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 47 2.0 8.7 40.0 33.3 0 2.87 50.0 50.0
Robin Benipal - 14 9.6 4.5 2.0 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.6 2.6 4.6 -8 -0.5 -5.9 58.3 20.0 71.4 0.22 65.2 59.7
Don Douglass - 16 8.5 4.1 2.8 0.9 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.6 4.6 -58 -3.2 -77.5 50.0 0 66.7 -0.39 57.1 50.0
Kendall Smith - 13 12.6 4.0 2.5 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 3.9 4.2 -82 -5.5 -46.0 33.3 20.5 66.7 -0.64 45.1 41.2
Jack Stefanski - 1 12.6 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 -35 -1.9 -14.6 100.0 100.0 50.0 -0.16 106.4 150.0
Kevonne Taylor - 1 19.4 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 3.0 -115 -6.8 -32.8 25.0 0 100.0 -0.13 41.0 25.0
Gavin Grondin - 5 9.7 3.2 1.8 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 3.0 3.4 -24 -3.4 -587.8 40.0 33.3 0 -0.04 53.3 53.3
Matt Schmainda - 1 10.7 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 87 3.6 19.3 33.3 33.3 0 3.73 50.0 50.0
Brandon Claerbaut - 1 26.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 -35 -1.8 -11.7 25.0 33.3 0 1.96 37.5 37.5
Trevor Polite - 1 11.3 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -18 -0.9 -8.4 50.0 0 100.0 -0.48 61.5 50.0
Isaiah Allen - 2 10.7 2.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 12 0.5 5.9 50.0 0 25.0 0.48 43.4 50.0
Sam Privet - 2 12.6 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 2.5 -23 -1.0 -8.1 33.3 0 100.0 -1.08 51.5 33.3
Ross Robertson - 1 6.2 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -18 -1.1 -26.7 50.0 0 0 -0.57 50.0 50.0
Josh Terrian - 1 26.2 2.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 29 1.2 5.6 0.0 0.0 100.0 2.87 53.2 0.0
Grant Warren - 1 12.3 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 -53 -2.2 -24.5 33.3 0.0 0 -2.16 33.3 33.3
Owen Leach - 1 16.2 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 11 0.8 11.3 33.3 0.0 0 0.8 33.3 33.3
Wyatt McBeth - 1 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 55 2.4 21.6 100.0 0 0 -0.91 100.0 100.0
Julian Lewis - 1 25.9 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 -2.0 -84 -4.0 -25.5 16.7 0.0 0 -3.37 16.7 16.7
Marcus Harris - 8 4.5 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 1.2 -0.4 -64 -4.3 -90.6 20.0 22.2 0 -1.41 30.0 30.0
Shane Izzard - 7 4.7 0.7 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 -23 -3.3 -193.0 40.0 50.0 0 -1.41 50.0 50.0
Drew Barrie - 1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -6 -0.4 -10.9 0 0 0 -0.36 0 0
Alex Calcaterra - 1 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 21 1.8 62.5 0 0 0 1.42 0 0
Daniel Molhoek - 1 8.3 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 10 0.4 4.8 0.0 0.0 0 -2.52 0.0 0.0
Peyton Rogers - 1 10.3 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 17 2.1 6.1 0.0 0 0 1.11 0.0 0.0
Andrew Smith - 1 11.7 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 19 0.9 5.2 0.0 0.0 0 1.95 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG