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Lake Superior St.

Also known as: Lake Superior St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1253 (#29) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1187 (#55) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More โ†’ 1044 (#135) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +17.6 (#33) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ +17.2 (#81) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.785 (#26) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +34.6 More โ†’ 0.975 (#126) NetEff +34.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +25.2 More โ†’ 0.948 (#11) AdjNet +25.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +25.4 More โ†’ 0.950 (#11) AdjNet +25.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 85.7 | AdjD 67.0 More โ†’ 0.846 (#11) AdjO 85.7 | AdjD 67.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 84.6 | AdjD 70.6 More โ†’ 0.780 (#27) AdjO 84.6 | AdjD 70.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.812 (#59) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.801 (#60) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 97 | GP 23 More โ†’ 1089 (#129) RD 97 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-21 vs St. Cloud St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 vs Lawrence Tech - Incomplete score
2025-12-04 @ Grand Valley St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 @ Davenport - Incomplete score
2025-12-15 vs Rochester Christian - Incomplete score
2025-12-17 vs Kuyper - Incomplete score
2025-12-19 vs Algoma (CAN) - Incomplete score
2026-01-04 vs Wayne St. (MI) - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 vs Roosevelt - Incomplete score
2026-02-12 vs Saginaw Valley W 90 - 81
2026-02-16 vs Ferris St. W 82 - 71
2026-02-19 vs Davenport W 99 - 79
2026-02-21 vs Grand Valley St. W 105 - 95
2026-02-26 @ Wayne St. (MI) W 82 - 79
2026-02-28 @ Purdue Northwest W 84 - 67
2026-03-04 vs Purdue Northwest W 93 - 91
2026-03-07 @ Northern Mich. L 67 - 79

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.