Lake Superior St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1253 (#29) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1187 (#55) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1044 (#135) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +17.6 (#33) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +17.2 (#81) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.785 (#26) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.975 (#126) | NetEff +34.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.948 (#11) | AdjNet +25.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.950 (#11) | AdjNet +25.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.846 (#11) | AdjO 85.7 | AdjD 67.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.780 (#27) | AdjO 84.6 | AdjD 70.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.812 (#59) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.801 (#60) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1089 (#129) | RD 97 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 | vs | St. Cloud St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Lawrence Tech | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Grand Valley St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Davenport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Rochester Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Kuyper | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Algoma (CAN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-04 | vs | Wayne St. (MI) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Roosevelt | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-12 | vs | Saginaw Valley | W | 90 - 81 |
| 2026-02-16 | vs | Ferris St. | W | 82 - 71 |
| 2026-02-19 | vs | Davenport | W | 99 - 79 |
| 2026-02-21 | vs | Grand Valley St. | W | 105 - 95 |
| 2026-02-26 | @ | Wayne St. (MI) | W | 82 - 79 |
| 2026-02-28 | @ | Purdue Northwest | W | 84 - 67 |
| 2026-03-04 | vs | Purdue Northwest | W | 93 - 91 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ | Northern Mich. | L | 67 - 79 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.