Lafayette Leopards
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 821 (#254) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 889 (#250) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 963 (#219) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.4 (#240) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.0 (#237) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.378 (#222) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.249 (#239) | AdjNet -9.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.247 (#239) | AdjNet -9.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.376 (#240) | AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 71.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.434 (#224) | AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 71.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.348 (#240) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.359 (#237) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 884 (#247) | RD 146 | GP 27 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-23 | @ | Binghamton | L | 68 - 77 |
| 2002-11-26 | @ | La Salle | L | 66 - 70 |
| 2002-11-30 | @ | Arizona State | L | 62 - 85 |
| 2002-12-03 | vs | Drexel | L | 47 - 65 |
| 2002-12-07 | vs | Princeton | L | 75 - 89 |
| 2002-12-19 | @ | Saint Peter's | W | 64 - 53 |
| 2002-12-21 | @ | Massachusetts | W | 54 - 52 |
| 2002-12-30 | vs | Albany (NY) | W | 83 - 75 |
| 2003-01-02 | vs | Columbia | W | 61 - 52 |
| 2003-01-05 | @ | Cornell | L | 73 - 80 |
| 2003-01-11 | @ | Colgate | L | 64 - 66 |
| 2003-01-15 | @ | Army | W | 73 - 59 |
| 2003-01-18 | vs | Holy Cross | L | 70 - 76 |
| 2003-01-21 | vs | Pennsylvania | L | 66 - 76 |
| 2003-01-24 | @ | Lehigh | L | 73 - 85 |
| 2003-01-26 | @ | Bucknell | L | 48 - 68 |
| 2003-01-31 | vs | American | W | 67 - 66 |
| 2003-02-02 | vs | Navy | W | 70 - 52 |
| 2003-02-07 | vs | Colgate | W | 60 - 56 |
| 2003-02-12 | vs | Army | W | 57 - 43 |
| 2003-02-15 | @ | Holy Cross | L | 65 - 73 |
| 2003-02-21 | vs | Bucknell | L | 53 - 70 |
| 2003-02-23 | vs | Lehigh | W | 86 - 68 |
| 2003-02-27 | @ | Navy | L | 74 - 79 |
| 2003-03-01 | @ | American | L | 62 - 79 |
| 2003-03-08 | N | Colgate | W | 89 - 76 |
| 2003-03-09 | N | American | L | 55 - 74 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.