Lafayette Leopards
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1157 (#77) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1137 (#73) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1133 (#26) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.0 (#143) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.3 (#115) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.805 (#30) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.593 (#133) | AdjNet +3.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.592 (#135) | AdjNet +3.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.561 (#127) | AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 69.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.628 (#59) | AdjO 72.8 | AdjD 67.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.648 (#92) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.660 (#82) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1165 (#56) | RD 118 | GP 29 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-20 | @ | Columbia | W | 59 - 52 |
| 1999-11-23 | @ | Villanova | L | 70 - 74 |
| 1999-11-29 | vs | Cornell | W | 65 - 54 |
| 1999-12-01 | @ | Howard | W | 64 - 55 |
| 1999-12-06 | vs | Towson | L | 57 - 59 |
| 1999-12-11 | vs | Saint Peter's | W | 81 - 69 |
| 1999-12-29 | N | Saint Joseph's | L | 81 - 83 |
| 1999-12-30 | N | Alabama State | W | 88 - 54 |
| 2000-01-02 | @ | Georgia Tech | L | 64 - 75 |
| 2000-01-08 | @ | Princeton | W | 70 - 69 |
| 2000-01-11 | @ | Pennsylvania | L | 76 - 80 |
| 2000-01-16 | vs | Navy | W | 80 - 74 |
| 2000-01-19 | @ | Holy Cross | W | 77 - 70 |
| 2000-01-22 | @ | Army | W | 77 - 55 |
| 2000-01-26 | vs | Lehigh | W | 87 - 68 |
| 2000-01-29 | @ | Colgate | W | 64 - 58 |
| 2000-02-02 | vs | Bucknell | W | 75 - 73 |
| 2000-02-07 | vs | Albany (NY) | W | 90 - 70 |
| 2000-02-09 | @ | Navy | L | 66 - 94 |
| 2000-02-12 | vs | Holy Cross | W | 77 - 66 |
| 2000-02-14 | @ | Stony Brook | W | 71 - 69 |
| 2000-02-16 | vs | Army | W | 69 - 43 |
| 2000-02-19 | @ | Lehigh | W | 77 - 63 |
| 2000-02-23 | vs | Colgate | W | 92 - 51 |
| 2000-02-27 | @ | Bucknell | W | 74 - 59 |
| 2000-03-04 | vs | Army | W | 71 - 45 |
| 2000-03-05 | vs | Lehigh | W | 66 - 60 |
| 2000-03-10 | vs | Navy | W | 87 - 61 |
| 2000-03-17 | N | Temple | L | 47 - 73 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.