🐻⬇️🏀

LaGrange

Also known as: LaGrange
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 973 (#423) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 953 (#429) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 964 (#577) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -5.8 (#203) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -6.3 (#462) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.257 (#629) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -13.6 More → 0.173 (#561) AdjNet -13.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.6 More → 0.169 (#559) AdjNet -13.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 84.2 More → 0.275 (#570) AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 84.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 75.6 More → 0.454 (#500) AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 75.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.330 (#556) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.350 (#546) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 107 | GP 20 More → 918 (#455) RD 107 | GP 20

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-05 @ Mercer L 62 - 101
2025-11-08 vs Truett-McConnell W 91 - 76
2025-11-12 @ Brevard W 92 - 87
2025-11-15 @ Millsaps L 85 - 99
2025-11-21 @ Pensacola Christian L 78 - 79
2025-11-22 @ Welch W 94 - 86
2025-12-03 vs Sewanee W 100 - 81
2025-12-06 @ Troy L 47 - 101
2025-12-13 vs Berry L 63 - 66
2025-12-17 vs Baptist U. (FL) W 101 - 54
2025-12-18 vs Methodist W 76 - 59
2025-12-29 @ Oglethorpe W 87 - 82
2025-12-30 @ Sewanee L 58 - 66
2026-01-02 vs Covenant W 128 - 93
2026-01-03 vs Maryville (TN) L 64 - 85
2026-01-06 @ Belhaven L 78 - 96
2026-01-13 @ Huntingdon L 74 - 81
2026-01-22 vs Belhaven W 69 - 65
2026-01-31 @ Maryville (TN) L 74 - 83
2026-02-06 vs Piedmont L 84 - 85
2026-02-07 vs Asbury W 80 - 65

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tyler Mallory - 1 32.0 32.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 19.0 11.0 113 8.1 47.2 52.6 50.0 56.2 1.33 61.4 60.5
Chase Morgan - 1 31.0 18.0 8.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 13.0 16.0 55 2.6 13.3 53.8 0.0 80.0 0.28 59.2 53.8
Fletcher Bigham - 2 32.0 17.0 10.5 2.0 2.0 2.5 2.0 11.0 21.0 16 0.8 3.3 54.5 53.8 75.0 2.1 71.5 70.5
Matthew Schneider - 1 24.0 16.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 9.0 11.0 25 1.3 5.8 66.7 75.0 50.0 1.36 81.0 83.3
Nikolas Avaliani - 2 29.0 15.0 4.5 3.0 1.5 0.5 3.0 16.5 5.0 35 1.8 7.1 33.3 27.3 71.4 2.03 41.6 37.9
Devin Dowell - 8 20.9 13.5 2.6 1.0 1.1 0.2 1.6 13.0 3.9 -2 -0.2 -1.4 41.3 18.5 56.7 -1.99 46.1 43.8
Skyler Stovall - 1 17.0 13.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 8.0 34 2.8 28.2 75.0 0.0 25.0 -0.13 66.6 75.0
Micah McAllister - 17 22.9 11.6 5.7 2.5 2.1 0.4 2.4 9.6 10.2 132 8.2 40.6 42.9 30.2 86.7 0.42 54.2 48.8
Andersen Madyun - 1 32.0 11.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 15.0 30 2.0 11.3 75.0 0 55.6 -0.66 69.1 75.0
Myles Murphy - 1 26.0 11.0 5.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 10.0 29 1.8 10.8 71.4 50.0 0 0.77 78.6 78.6
Kani Rashied-Henry - 15 26.0 10.1 7.7 1.3 0.7 2.9 2.8 5.6 14.3 58 4.1 19.2 59.5 27.3 66.2 5.83 65.2 61.3
Austen Colton - 15 16.3 9.6 1.7 2.0 0.9 0.0 1.3 9.1 3.9 54 4.2 24.9 37.5 34.5 100.0 2.47 50.8 48.2
Aidan Treacy - 2 28.0 9.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 5.0 -25 -1.3 -5.8 50.0 0.0 57.1 -1.18 52.7 50.0
Tyler Harrington - 7 19.7 8.7 3.6 1.0 0.3 0.3 2.0 6.4 5.4 -26 -2.2 -100.0 44.4 32.0 81.2 -2.41 58.6 53.3
Jack Bakken - 2 26.0 8.0 5.5 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.5 3.5 14.5 -15 -0.8 -3.3 57.1 50.0 63.6 -1.05 67.6 64.3
Brodie Scott - 8 23.4 7.4 4.5 1.0 1.2 0.2 0.8 5.4 8.2 84 6.5 61.8 44.2 50.0 70.8 0.66 55.1 48.8
Jett Sutton - 1 9.0 7.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 60 3.2 46.5 50.0 50.0 50.0 1.58 71.7 75.0
Parker Gonzalez - 17 19.1 6.5 4.0 0.9 0.7 0.6 1.4 4.7 6.6 -1 -0.1 -0.5 58.8 0 61.5 -0.06 60.1 58.8
Trenton Dillard - 17 16.3 6.2 3.0 1.5 0.7 0.3 1.7 4.1 5.9 -8 -0.5 -3.6 60.9 0 60.0 -3.0 62.2 60.9
Jeremy Autin - 1 21.0 6.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 8.0 10 0.7 5.1 20.0 0.0 100.0 2.31 44.4 20.0
R.J. Simmons - 1 14.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 -15 -1.0 -17.7 100.0 100.0 0 -1.17 125.0 125.0
David Stone - 1 3.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 -23 -1.4 -57.6 100.0 0 75.0 -0.74 90.6 100.0
Eric Moore - 1 15.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 -13 -0.9 -6.9 50.0 100.0 100.0 0.06 86.8 75.0
Jacob Amonett - 2 14.0 4.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 3.5 1.5 17 0.9 12.2 42.9 42.9 0 0.92 64.3 64.3
Chadan Hamiliton - 15 17.7 4.0 1.9 2.5 0.5 0.0 1.7 3.9 3.3 14 1.8 49.0 35.6 25.8 100.0 -1.67 47.3 42.4
Jace Herrell - 17 13.7 4.0 2.0 0.9 1.1 0.0 0.9 3.1 4.1 87 5.4 40.2 37.7 30.8 76.2 -0.04 54.6 49.1
Ford Barnes - 8 7.4 3.5 1.9 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 2.9 3.1 -12 -2.0 -39.8 56.5 0 33.3 -1.56 54.6 56.5
Marcus Townsend - 1 20.0 3.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 23 1.4 10.0 25.0 0.0 50.0 -1.88 30.7 25.0
Catfish Battle - 15 7.9 2.7 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.6 2.9 2.5 -53 -4.1 -57.4 31.8 9.1 73.3 -4.52 39.5 33.0
Zyon Heath - 8 5.5 2.5 1.8 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.5 2.0 2.4 -26 -3.7 -64.6 37.5 0.0 80.0 -2.81 49.0 37.5
Bryce Curtis - 1 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 4 0.4 67.1 0 0 100.0 -0.96 113.6 0
Collin Smith - 1 7.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 47 2.2 24.7 50.0 0 0 0.52 50.0 50.0
Zeek Young - 1 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2 0.2 33.6 100.0 0 0 -0.96 100.0 100.0
Brock Barton - 1 15.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 -5 -1.0 -40.3 0.0 0.0 100.0 -0.08 20.5 0.0
Courtland Walker - 4 4.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.8 0.2 -1 -0.2 -0.9 42.9 0.0 25.0 -0.1 40.0 42.9
Philip Ryan - 2 10.0 1.5 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 1.5 2.0 -10 -0.5 -3.1 33.3 50.0 0 0.65 50.0 50.0
Devon Green - 4 6.9 1.2 0.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.8 2.5 -4 -0.7 -58.9 66.7 0 50.0 -0.77 64.4 66.7
Jalen McCullough - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4 0.4 53.0 0 0 0 -0.72 0 0
Keyshawn Dickey - 1 14.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -1.0 15 1.4 9.2 0.0 0.0 0 0.99 0.0 0.0
Myles Johnson - 1 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -3.0 -1 -0.1 -0.7 0.0 0.0 0 1.8 0.0 0.0
Isaiah Knight - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -2.0 -28 -2.5 -92.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.22 0.0 0.0
Owen LaRocca - 1 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -3.0 -4 -0.2 -1.6 0.0 0.0 0 -1.33 0.0 0.0
CJ Scott - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1 0.5 15.4 0 0 0 0.37 0 0
Ben Jackson - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -0.01 0 0
Nigel Gist-Allen - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -12 -12.0 -120.5 0 0 0 -1.65 0 0
Jamal Momon - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8 8.0 113.6 0 0 0 1.01 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG