🐻⬇️🏀

La Sierra

Also known as: La Sierra
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1009 (#373) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 993 (#384) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 990 (#525) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -18.1 (#657) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.096 (#740) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -23.9 More → 0.059 (#683) AdjNet -23.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -24.1 More → 0.056 (#684) AdjNet -24.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 82.6 More → 0.169 (#681) AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 82.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 73.8 More → 0.369 (#613) AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 73.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.266 (#607) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.284 (#603) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 285 | GP 2 More → 983 (#387) RD 285 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-13 @ Caltech W 77 - 70
2025-12-17 vs Occidental L 51 - 80

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Dorian Glogovac - 1 36.3 28.0 10.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 22.0 14.0 -132 -6.9 -40.4 36.4 35.7 87.5 -0.05 54.9 47.7
Samuel Bazunga - 1 33.0 15.0 8.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 10.0 16.0 - - - 60.0 0 60.0 - 61.5 60.0
Finnegan Fancher - 1 33.5 15.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 10.0 -129 -6.8 -37.7 60.0 42.9 0.0 -1.34 71.8 75.0
Noel Camejo - 1 29.0 9.0 6.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 11.0 13.0 - - - 27.3 20.0 100.0 - 37.9 31.8
Maur Tablada - 1 20.0 9.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 7.0 - - - 57.1 0.0 100.0 - 60.5 57.1
Chase Williamson - 1 32.5 9.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 8.0 -103 -5.7 -38.8 50.0 50.0 100.0 2.38 69.9 66.7
Ryan Rodrigue - 1 22.4 6.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 6.0 -159 -8.8 -46.6 75.0 0.0 0 -2.17 75.0 75.0
Stuart Florescu - 1 20.7 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 -83 -4.4 -34.6 25.0 0 100.0 -0.39 41.0 25.0
Ido Geffen - 1 11.3 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 -75 -3.9 -67.7 66.7 0 0 -3.46 66.7 66.7
Mateo Hamilton - 1 19.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 2.0 - - - 25.0 50.0 0 - 37.5 37.5
Constantine Carle-Tablada - 1 14.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 - - - 25.0 50.0 0 - 37.5 37.5
Andrew Koclanes - 1 16.5 3.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 -133 -7.4 -98.0 33.3 33.3 0 -1.48 50.0 50.0
David Odinigwe - 1 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -2.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Matt McCallum - 1 14.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Anthony Montoya - 1 21.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 -5.0 - - - 20.0 0.0 0 - 20.0 20.0
Robert Finklea - 1 19.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Josh Balami - 1 22.8 1.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 7.0 -3.0 -85 -5.3 -190.7 0.0 0.0 50.0 2.61 6.3 0.0
Tyler Gray - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -3.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Pranit Gunjal - 1 3.9 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2 0.2 20.2 0 0 0 0.21 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG