Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 956 (#327) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 984 (#382) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.3 (#401) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.013 (#634) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.052 (#668) | AdjNet -25.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.052 (#662) | AdjNet -24.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.169 (#654) | AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 83.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.485 (#334) | AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 73.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.409 (#395) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.413 (#392) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 930 (#310) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Flanagan | - | 1 | 20.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 46 | 5.8 | 11.8 | 71.4 | 100.0 | 0 | 1.48 | 92.9 | 92.9 |
| Robby Robinson | - | 1 | 19.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 46 | 5.8 | 9.1 | 71.4 | 0 | 100.0 | 1.07 | 78.1 | 71.4 |
| Jimmy Reyes | - | 1 | 12.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 1 | 0.3 | 31.2 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -1.66 | 137.5 | 137.5 |
| Sedrick Altman | - | 1 | 25.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 30 | 3.8 | 6.1 | 30.8 | 22.2 | 0 | 0.77 | 38.5 | 38.5 |
| Evan Guillory | - | 1 | 20.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 5 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.3 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Jordan Jones | - | 1 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 29 | 3.2 | 20.5 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 1.27 | 82.7 | 80.0 |
| Christopher Mitchell | - | 1 | 16.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 32 | 2.5 | 5.8 | 57.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 1.01 | 60.5 | 64.3 |
| Kailen Rains | - | 1 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 33.3 | 75.0 | - | 59.2 | 50.0 |
| Sam Freeman | - | 1 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | -5 | -5.0 | -15.5 | 75.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.5 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| LeAndrew Knight | - | 1 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 45 | 5.6 | 8.1 | 60.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.05 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Myles Arnold | - | 1 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 27 | 3.9 | 25.6 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.18 | 46.0 | 40.0 |
| Bryce Mitchell | - | 1 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 2 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.15 | 66.5 | 75.0 |
| Sam Ibeh | - | 1 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Leonard Turner | - | 1 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG