Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1028 (#263) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1082 (#181) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 999 (#465) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +20.5 (#122) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#31) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.992 (#35) | AdjNet +41.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.994 (#34) | AdjNet +41.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.939 (#38) | AdjO 83.8 | AdjD 53.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.597 (#221) | AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 69.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.835 (#66) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.800 (#82) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1144 (#114) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Lancaster Bible | W | 75 - 46 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Walker | - | 1 | 22.4 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | -4 | -0.2 | -1.6 | 54.5 | 75.0 | 75.0 | -0.39 | 70.5 | 68.2 |
| Rob Dockery | - | 1 | 26.8 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Edwin Daniel | - | 1 | 16.4 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 71.4 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 69.8 | 71.4 |
| Jerome Brewer, Jr. | - | 1 | 17.1 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 6 | 1.2 | 67.9 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.13 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Eric Acker | - | 1 | 23.4 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Damon Strand | - | 1 | 28.8 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 12.5 | 14.3 | 100.0 | - | 28.2 | 18.8 |
| Nas Hart | - | 1 | 11.1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 106.4 | 100.0 |
| Jaeden Marshall | - | 1 | 20.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -1.0 | -51 | -6.4 | -255.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.56 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Justin Archer | - | 1 | 8.3 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Bowyn Beatty | - | 1 | 21.9 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Arlan Masharaliyev | - | 1 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG