Lancaster Bible
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1131 (#103) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1108 (#133) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1063 (#145) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.4 (#139) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.8 (#322) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.707 (#346) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.351 (#424) | AdjNet -5.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.344 (#424) | AdjNet -5.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.425 (#410) | AdjO 80.2 | AdjD 83.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.671 (#125) | AdjO 84.3 | AdjD 76.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.591 (#318) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.602 (#318) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1095 (#186) | RD 102 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Wash. & Jeff. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Geneva | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Grove City | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Ramapo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | La Salle | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Shenandoah | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | DeSales | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Penn St.-Berks | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | NYU | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | East. Mennonite | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Lebanon Valley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Drew | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Franklin & Marshall | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Moravian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Penn St. Brandywine | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Keystone | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Gallaudet | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | St. Mary's (MD) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Penn College | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Valley Forge | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Penn St.-Abington | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Cairn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Wilson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Rosemont | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camden Hurst | - | 22 | 27.9 | 21.2 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.6 | 13.5 | 14.1 | 104 | 5.2 | 21.9 | 58.6 | 37.3 | 70.5 | 0.23 | 66.0 | 63.3 |
| Connor Storr | - | 22 | 22.8 | 15.9 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 11.0 | 13.5 | 152 | 7.2 | 38.4 | 52.9 | 29.1 | 69.0 | 0.76 | 60.0 | 56.2 |
| Luke Rumbaugh | - | 13 | 19.8 | 10.0 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 6.6 | 7.5 | 20 | 1.5 | 22.0 | 45.3 | 29.4 | 73.4 | -4.51 | 56.9 | 48.3 |
| Daniel King | - | 23 | 20.4 | 6.9 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 8.3 | 69 | 3.1 | 17.8 | 59.0 | 0.0 | 61.2 | 0.74 | 61.4 | 59.0 |
| Jacob Lewis | - | 22 | 11.7 | 6.5 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 55 | 2.8 | 26.9 | 48.0 | 46.0 | 70.6 | -0.31 | 62.2 | 59.5 |
| Mark Heidebrecht | - | 18 | 11.4 | 6.4 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 4.0 | 7.3 | 149 | 9.3 | 123.4 | 73.6 | 0.0 | 55.6 | 6.14 | 72.6 | 73.6 |
| Trey Grube | - | 20 | 8.7 | 6.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 43 | 2.1 | 33.7 | 44.9 | 47.0 | 75.0 | -1.37 | 64.0 | 62.4 |
| Bennett Bowers | - | 23 | 19.9 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 4.0 | 5.2 | 100 | 4.8 | 34.7 | 48.4 | 36.1 | 93.1 | -0.01 | 61.7 | 55.5 |
| Tyshaun Pulley | - | 23 | 16.0 | 5.1 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 5.5 | 3.8 | 89 | 4.2 | 30.3 | 37.8 | 26.7 | 54.2 | -0.48 | 42.5 | 40.9 |
| Nile Austin | - | 23 | 22.2 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.7 | 4.2 | 182 | 8.7 | 49.3 | 35.2 | 35.4 | 71.4 | 3.19 | 50.4 | 48.6 |
| Reaves Hooks | - | 22 | 13.4 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 108 | 4.9 | 44.4 | 42.5 | 38.7 | 70.6 | -0.17 | 52.6 | 50.0 |
| Tyler Chapman | - | 3 | 8.0 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 18 | 6.0 | 35.3 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 2.72 | 46.0 | 50.0 |
| Micah Washington | - | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 45 | 3.5 | 57.8 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2.85 | 69.4 | 100.0 |
| Doug Adiok | - | 17 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 2.6 | 9 | 0.6 | 14.6 | 60.0 | 0 | 25.0 | -2.32 | 51.8 | 60.0 |
| Micah Gray | - | 7 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 17 | 2.4 | 266.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 2.49 | 68.8 | 68.8 |
| Marco Cabezas | - | 16 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 44 | 2.9 | 141.9 | 36.8 | 0.0 | 81.8 | 1.92 | 48.2 | 36.8 |
| Landon Zeiset | - | 18 | 6.1 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 46 | 2.7 | 95.1 | 46.7 | 0 | 37.5 | 1.88 | 45.9 | 46.7 |
| Nas Joy | - | 12 | 6.3 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 52 | 4.3 | 69.9 | 15.8 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 2.08 | 21.7 | 15.8 |
| Matt Johnson | - | 11 | 3.6 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.3 | -35 | -1.3 | -62.5 | 16.7 | 33.3 | 16.7 | -1.32 | 23.1 | 25.0 |
| Evan Milanesi | - | 1 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG