🐻⬇️🏀

LSU Alexandria Bull Terriers

Season: 2022 2015
Also known as: LSU Alexandria Generals
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 959 (#522) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 956 (#478) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 999 (#195) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +16.6 (#284) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +4.1 (#292) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 69.1 More → 0.502 (#231) AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 69.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.574 (#276) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.553 (#274) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 928 (#349) RD 350 | GP 1

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 @ Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks L 73 - 82

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Abney J. Abney - 1 35.0 24.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 31.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.09 0 0
A. Rainey A. Rainey - 1 37.0 14.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 18.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.05 0 0
J. Berry J. Berry - 1 16.0 10.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 13.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Perry II J. Perry II G 1 24.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 54 1.9 3.7 0 0 0 0.72 0 0
C. Smith C. Smith - 1 31.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 -67 -3.5 -9.6 0 0 0 0.72 0 0
J. Lewis J. Lewis - 1 24.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 7.0 -193 -6.0 -9.1 0 0 0 1.89 0 0
J. Moor J. Moor - 1 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Willis D. Willis G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 70 2.9 13.1 0 0 0 0.86 0 0
T. Colbert T. Colbert - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Fusilier J. Fusilier - 1 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG