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Ky. Wesleyan

Also known as: Ky. Wesleyan
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1145 (#58) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1141 (#68) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1114 (#62) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +6.1 (#112) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +6.1 (#263) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.732 (#277) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +6.1 More → 0.691 (#220) NetEff +6.1
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -38.3 More → 0.006 (#461) NetEff -38.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +14.4 More → 0.840 (#251) AdjNet +14.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.8 More → 0.852 (#248) AdjNet +14.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 62.8 More → 0.716 (#242) AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 62.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 60.7 More → 0.594 (#179) AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 60.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.687 (#190) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.681 (#195) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 22 More → 1168 (#61) RD 98 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs Tenn. Southern W 84 - 71
2025-11-14 vs Missouri S&T L 71 - 81
2025-11-15 vs Lincoln (MO) W 69 - 64
2025-11-19 @ Trevecca Nazarene W 75 - 69
2025-11-21 vs Mo.-St. Louis L 32 - 69
2025-11-26 vs Midway W 95 - 61
2025-12-04 @ Ohio Dominican W 66 - 60
2025-12-06 @ Findlay L 63 - 92
2025-12-11 vs Ashland W 84 - 72
2025-12-13 vs Tiffin W 77 - 65
2025-12-31 vs Ind.-Southeast W 83 - 38
2026-01-03 @ Ursuline W 78 - 67
2026-01-10 vs Northwood L 65 - 77
2026-01-15 @ Malone W 65 - 63
2026-01-17 @ Walsh L 38 - 64
2026-01-22 @ Thomas More L 50 - 67
2026-01-24 vs Cedarville W 74 - 67
2026-01-29 vs Findlay L 58 - 69
2026-01-31 vs Ohio Dominican W 64 - 57
2026-02-07 vs Ashland W 70 - 65

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Emma Bruwer - 20 23.3 12.6 3.8 1.5 1.8 0.1 3.2 10.1 6.5 114 5.0 26.0 43.1 29.9 79.7 2.01 54.2 48.8
Riley Neal - 20 22.8 11.2 5.0 1.1 0.9 0.6 2.3 9.2 7.3 65 2.8 13.8 45.4 27.3 82.6 -1.05 54.6 50.3
Myah Montgomery - 20 27.0 10.2 4.5 1.4 1.4 0.1 1.4 9.1 7.0 53 2.3 11.0 42.3 27.2 74.1 -1.17 52.9 50.8
Georgia Acompanado - 20 19.1 6.7 3.1 2.8 2.0 0.1 1.6 4.8 8.2 52 2.4 17.6 48.5 20.0 63.6 0.22 54.9 50.5
Iratxe Amorrortu Sainz - 20 20.4 5.4 2.6 0.8 1.1 0.1 1.8 4.5 3.7 68 3.1 18.3 42.2 40.0 66.7 0.39 55.1 53.3
Carson Sisk - 18 19.3 4.7 2.8 0.7 1.0 0.1 1.1 4.1 4.2 65 3.1 19.1 42.5 39.4 64.3 0.59 53.1 51.4
Ricky Kapteijn - 20 17.0 4.0 1.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 1.7 4.1 1.4 17 0.8 5.4 32.9 28.3 80.0 -0.89 44.6 40.9
Avah Montgomery - 18 10.1 3.6 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.1 2.9 1.9 36 1.8 35.9 35.8 40.7 88.2 1.16 52.9 46.2
Vilborg Jonsdottir - 20 22.6 3.5 2.8 3.0 1.1 0.0 1.6 4.0 4.8 38 1.7 8.2 37.5 12.5 47.4 1.42 40.2 38.8
Lily Hoagland - 13 7.8 3.5 1.2 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.6 2.3 2.4 13 0.9 11.9 56.7 53.3 66.7 1.13 70.5 70.0
Lena Stinebrickner - 18 15.0 3.2 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.1 1.3 3.2 1.8 19 0.9 7.3 31.6 30.6 73.3 -2.44 45.6 41.2
Samantha Shehan - 7 4.7 2.3 1.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 2.4 1.3 29 3.2 346.3 35.3 50.0 0 -0.01 47.1 47.1
Alexis Shehan - 10 4.4 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.9 34 2.8 142.7 61.5 0 25.0 0.65 57.6 61.5
Hilary Shikuku - 3 3.3 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 15 3.0 198.9 0.0 0 100.0 -0.03 53.2 0.0
Ella Finley - 6 3.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.7 0.5 0.7 19 2.4 251.9 33.3 0.0 0 -0.03 33.3 33.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG