King's (NY)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 985 (#266) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 957 (#385) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 914 (#595) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -7.3 (#266) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.1 (#488) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.169 (#604) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.062 (#582) | AdjNet -23.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.053 (#589) | AdjNet -24.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.211 (#569) | AdjO 52.6 | AdjD 67.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.403 (#534) | AdjO 57.6 | AdjD 61.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.271 (#549) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.292 (#540) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 956 (#369) | RD 98 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Penn | L | 31 - 105 |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Widener | L | 52 - 68 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Gwynedd Mercy | L | 50 - 56 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Saint Elizabeth | W | 72 - 64 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | SUNY Morrisville | W | 70 - 43 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Wilkes | W | 70 - 59 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Keystone | W | 65 - 41 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Penn St.-Schuylkill | W | 82 - 37 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Centenary (NJ) | W | 71 - 46 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Salisbury | L | 53 - 56 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Kenyon | L | 55 - 66 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | FDU-Florham | W | 72 - 52 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Stevens | L | 53 - 58 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Delaware Valley | L | 64 - 71 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Misericordia | L | 52 - 72 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Arcadia | L | 46 - 53 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | DeSales | L | 59 - 62 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | FDU-Florham | W | 83 - 75 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Stevens | L | 58 - 73 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Lebanon Valley | L | 33 - 53 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Casey | - | 20 | 31.8 | 14.2 | 11.1 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 3.2 | 10.3 | 15.7 | 35 | 1.8 | 7.6 | 49.8 | 22.2 | 76.5 | -0.17 | 56.6 | 50.2 |
| Cadie Lewis | - | 20 | 34.5 | 12.6 | 5.8 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 4.2 | 11.4 | 9.3 | 16 | 0.8 | 3.3 | 35.4 | 37.1 | 80.4 | -1.0 | 50.1 | 46.1 |
| Gianna Dickson | - | 20 | 32.5 | 12.3 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 13.7 | 1.9 | 46 | 2.3 | 10.5 | 33.3 | 30.7 | 63.0 | 0.19 | 43.2 | 41.9 |
| Claire Aufiero | - | 18 | 26.1 | 6.4 | 6.8 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 6.3 | 7.9 | 58 | 3.2 | 16.3 | 36.3 | 8.3 | 60.0 | 0.68 | 42.3 | 36.7 |
| Irelynd Long | - | 20 | 26.2 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 6 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 60.9 | -0.89 | 43.5 | 40.9 |
| Taylor Hough | - | 20 | 12.6 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 23 | 1.1 | 21.0 | 28.1 | 16.7 | 77.3 | -1.61 | 38.7 | 31.2 |
| Layla Orth | - | 20 | 16.3 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 4 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 27.9 | 14.3 | 65.2 | -0.39 | 35.9 | 29.5 |
| Gabby Marsola | - | 18 | 7.4 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 43 | 2.4 | 54.0 | 36.8 | 43.3 | 100.0 | 0.52 | 55.3 | 53.9 |
| Elise Larson | - | 12 | 6.3 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 32 | 2.9 | 288.7 | 36.4 | 14.3 | 33.3 | 0.63 | 38.6 | 38.6 |
| Caitlyn Majiros | - | 2 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | -2 | -1.0 | -19.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.75 | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Tiffany Pecorella | - | 10 | 6.7 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 26.3 | 13.3 | 50.0 | - | 33.7 | 31.6 |
| Keirra Jones | - | 6 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 210 | 10.5 | 86.2 | 23.1 | 14.3 | 16.7 | 3.69 | 25.6 | 26.9 |
| Ayla Schneck-Haines | - | 5 | 6.1 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.4 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Melanie Selner | - | 11 | 5.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 7 | 0.7 | 46.9 | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.42 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Emily McCullon | - | 4 | 4.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 10.2 | 0.0 |
| Liz Wilson | - | 4 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | 26 | 2.4 | 30.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2.79 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG