Keystone
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 859 (#562) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 757 (#617) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 852 (#720) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -22.2 (#477) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -20.3 (#690) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.345 (#570) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.056 (#694) | AdjNet -24.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.052 (#694) | AdjNet -24.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.159 (#689) | AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 87.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.255 (#710) | AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 83.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.145 (#714) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.158 (#715) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 754 (#584) | RD 98 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | VTSU Lyndon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-09 | vs | VTSU Randolph | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Marywood | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Wilkes | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | SUNY Cobleskill | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Utica | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Cairn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Penn St. Harrisburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | SUNY Potsdam | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Misericordia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Nazareth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-18 | vs | Saint Elizabeth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Alvernia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Valley Forge | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Penn College | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Lancaster Bible | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Gallaudet | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Penn St. Brandywine | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Notre Dame (MD) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Penn St.-Berks | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | St. Mary's (MD) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | SUNY ESF | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Wilson | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Franco | - | 1 | 36.4 | 28.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | - | - | - | 46.7 | 40.0 | 90.9 | -0.96 | 70.6 | 60.0 |
| Patrick Emery | - | 1 | 40.0 | 17.0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | - | - | - | 70.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -2.77 | 69.7 | 70.0 |
| Jden Golding | - | 22 | 33.7 | 16.9 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 13.9 | 10.5 | -77 | -4.1 | -17.9 | 45.2 | 32.0 | 70.2 | 0.21 | 52.4 | 47.9 |
| Andrew Cox | - | 1 | 35.2 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.19 | 84.5 | 81.2 |
| PJ Murphy | - | 22 | 26.2 | 12.9 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 11.7 | 6.6 | -115 | -6.1 | -34.6 | 38.8 | 29.2 | 79.4 | -1.86 | 49.5 | 45.2 |
| Ahmodrion Jones | - | 22 | 32.2 | 12.6 | 5.8 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 12.8 | 7.0 | -139 | -7.3 | -40.3 | 33.7 | 25.3 | 75.9 | -0.61 | 43.2 | 37.4 |
| Mikey Sellin | - | 1 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 83.3 | 66.7 | 0 | -3.66 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Nathaniel Sletvold | - | 1 | 24.7 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.13 | 50.6 | 45.0 |
| Josh Brown | - | 12 | 33.3 | 9.7 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 8.1 | 7.5 | -117 | -10.6 | -74.6 | 44.3 | 33.3 | 60.0 | -2.05 | 52.6 | 50.5 |
| Kamdyn Ayers | - | 16 | 29.8 | 8.5 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 3.2 | 5.8 | 8.9 | -70 | -5.0 | -34.4 | 58.1 | 33.3 | 59.5 | 0.9 | 61.0 | 59.7 |
| Ben Zito | - | 1 | 24.1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 80.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.36 | 80.0 | 80.0 |
| Tyler Ditton | - | 22 | 15.9 | 7.1 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 5.9 | 2.5 | -36 | -1.9 | -18.4 | 40.0 | 35.4 | 72.0 | 1.37 | 55.3 | 53.1 |
| Demetrius Thomas | - | 19 | 21.7 | 5.3 | 6.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 3.8 | 8.4 | -44 | -2.8 | -20.2 | 55.6 | 25.0 | 48.7 | -0.62 | 56.1 | 56.2 |
| Conor Patton | - | 21 | 10.5 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 4.2 | -33 | -1.6 | -24.1 | 67.6 | 40.0 | 70.0 | 0.02 | 72.4 | 70.6 |
| Jeramiah Maxwell-Lawus | - | 21 | 11.3 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 3.5 | -43 | -2.3 | -26.1 | 41.5 | 0.0 | 37.5 | -1.23 | 41.7 | 41.5 |
| Kieran Hefferan | - | 1 | 15.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -2.87 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Lukas Stone | - | 3 | 7.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | -5 | -2.5 | -9.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Shateek Humbert | - | 6 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 31.7 | 28.6 |
| Derek Rivera | - | 11 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | -0.5 | -33 | -3.3 | -137.7 | 15.4 | 9.1 | 0 | -4.06 | 19.2 | 19.2 |
| James Henck | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ian Howard | - | 1 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.01 | 0 | 0 |
| Ian Holland | - | 1 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Emerson Johnson | - | 1 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 129 | 7.2 | 116.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.26 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG