Keuka
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1047 (#182) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 901 (#484) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1001 (#444) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -14.0 (#393) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -12.3 (#569) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.408 (#523) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.101 (#643) | AdjNet -18.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.097 (#643) | AdjNet -19.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.219 (#640) | AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 80.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.403 (#579) | AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 74.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.296 (#577) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.319 (#570) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 973 (#405) | RD 103 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | SUNY ESF | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Buffalo St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Lycoming | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Penn College | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Hobart | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Hilbert | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | RIT | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | Alfred St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | SUNY Geneseo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | SUNY Morrisville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-09 | vs | Russell Sage | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Hartwick | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | SUNY Brockport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | St. John Fisher | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Nazareth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Utica | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | SUNY Poly | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-27 | vs | Elmira | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Houghton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Alfred | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | Hartwick | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Russell Sage | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Lovelace | - | 21 | 31.1 | 20.3 | 5.9 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 16.8 | 10.3 | -1 | -0.0 | -0.2 | 42.3 | 32.5 | 87.3 | -0.56 | 53.8 | 48.0 |
| Akinlana Popoola | - | 18 | 30.2 | 15.1 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 12.1 | 7.4 | 13 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 41.9 | 36.8 | 79.7 | -1.82 | 55.5 | 50.9 |
| Maximus Michalski | - | 1 | 30.0 | 15.0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 8 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 42.9 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.87 | 49.0 | 42.9 |
| Andrew Violante | - | 1 | 32.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | -6 | -0.3 | -1.3 | 71.4 | 66.7 | 25.0 | -0.37 | 74.2 | 85.7 |
| Kaleb Nutifafa | - | 21 | 24.4 | 9.2 | 7.0 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 7.5 | 9.4 | -8 | -0.4 | -1.4 | 42.7 | 16.7 | 64.4 | 0.79 | 49.1 | 43.0 |
| Makya Morrison | - | 20 | 25.5 | 8.4 | 7.0 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 6.7 | 10.4 | 32 | 1.5 | 6.7 | 50.7 | 20.0 | 57.4 | 1.84 | 53.6 | 51.5 |
| Carson Kwiatkowski | - | 1 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -15 | -1.1 | -16.7 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | -0.9 | 121.5 | 125.0 |
| Giovanni Schillaci | - | 1 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | -54 | -2.7 | -20.5 | 28.6 | 16.7 | 50.0 | -3.24 | 38.1 | 35.7 |
| Quinn VanKerkhove | - | 20 | 16.2 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 4.7 | 3.2 | 10 | 0.5 | 2.6 | 38.3 | 34.4 | 80.0 | 0.73 | 53.8 | 49.5 |
| Alex Hayes | - | 1 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | -60 | -2.7 | -17.2 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -3.52 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Jack Janes | - | 1 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | -40 | -1.8 | -11.9 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -1.74 | 43.4 | 37.5 |
| Lassana Fofana | - | 2 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 7.5 | 8 | 8.0 | 60.4 | 44.4 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 42.4 | 44.4 |
| Max Schneider | - | 1 | 34.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.21 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Malik Junious-Fuller | - | 19 | 21.1 | 3.9 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 3.5 | 4.6 | -5 | -0.2 | -1.1 | 34.3 | 27.8 | 78.3 | 0.39 | 48.0 | 41.8 |
| Chase Welch | - | 17 | 15.0 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 4.2 | 1.4 | -11 | -0.6 | -6.0 | 28.2 | 33.3 | 63.6 | -1.48 | 42.9 | 40.8 |
| Cam Miller | - | 13 | 10.1 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 6 | 0.3 | 4.4 | 35.6 | 31.6 | 64.7 | 3.56 | 46.7 | 42.2 |
| Louis Fay | - | 1 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 36 | 1.8 | 12.4 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | 3.12 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Marcus Reed | - | 19 | 9.6 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 27 | 1.4 | 15.4 | 47.8 | 25.0 | 37.5 | 2.82 | 49.5 | 51.1 |
| JT Giannakopoulos | - | 15 | 7.6 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 6 | 0.4 | 7.1 | 63.0 | 33.3 | 54.5 | -0.51 | 64.4 | 64.8 |
| Amar Jackson | - | 9 | 11.0 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 3.8 | -10 | -1.1 | -16.6 | 34.8 | 0.0 | 57.1 | -2.3 | 38.3 | 34.8 |
| Jonathan McCaffrey | - | 1 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -2.15 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Brennan Hopkins | - | 13 | 6.2 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 11 | 0.8 | 31.1 | 35.3 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.63 | 43.9 | 35.3 |
| Kevin Felasco | - | 18 | 9.5 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 17.1 | 14.3 | 80.0 | 0.59 | 25.5 | 22.0 |
| Connor Chapman | - | 3 | 6.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | -0.3 | 7 | 2.3 | 20.2 | 16.7 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Ty LaBarge | - | 19 | 9.5 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 3.3 | -16 | -0.8 | -8.8 | 46.2 | 0 | 36.4 | -1.99 | 44.8 | 46.2 |
| Raiden Josil | - | 2 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Girich | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -23 | -1.9 | -37.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyler Proper | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -2.0 | -21 | -1.2 | -12.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.92 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG