Kentucky St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 841 (#490) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 838 (#486) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 871 (#635) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.5 (#266) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.2 (#415) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.199 (#491) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#12) | NetEff +60.0 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.061 (#411) | NetEff -18.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.210 (#518) | AdjNet -11.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.207 (#522) | AdjNet -11.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.345 (#512) | AdjO 63.6 | AdjD 70.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.389 (#536) | AdjO 60.9 | AdjD 65.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.364 (#477) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.355 (#483) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 822 (#452) | RD 93 | GP 27 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-04 | vs | Shorter | W | 85 - 36 |
| 2025-11-05 | @ | Western Ky. | L | 33 - 81 |
| 2025-11-10 | vs | Walsh | W | 79 - 55 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Union (TN) | L | 66 - 99 |
| 2025-11-17 | @ | Edward Waters | W | 58 - 54 |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Allen | L | 57 - 66 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Benedict | W | 75 - 63 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Tuskegee | L | 57 - 65 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Spring Hill | L | 53 - 69 |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | Lee | L | 63 - 78 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Bowling Green | L | 32 - 103 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Savannah St. | L | 68 - 70 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Clark Atlanta | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Davis & Elkins | W | 117 - 37 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Tuskegee | L | 51 - 60 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Spring Hill | W | 64 - 55 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Lane | L | 69 - 80 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Central St. (OH) | L | 62 - 65 |
| 2026-01-19 | @ | LeMoyne-Owen | L | 49 - 64 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Allen | L | 68 - 74 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Benedict | L | 53 - 78 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Edward Waters | L | 47 - 59 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Savannah St. | W | 59 - 45 |
| 2026-02-02 | vs | Fort Valley St. | W | 79 - 63 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Fort Valley St. | W | 61 - 60 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Clark Atlanta | L | 65 - 83 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corynne Hauser | - | 1 | 29.9 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 16.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 43.8 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 59.1 | 53.1 |
| Mya Babbitt | - | 2 | 27.6 | 21.0 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 15.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 56.7 | 33.3 | 75.0 | - | 66.1 | 65.0 |
| Shania Nichols | - | 1 | 18.6 | 20.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 8.0 | -31 | -1.6 | -7.3 | 63.6 | 66.7 | 0 | -3.08 | 90.9 | 90.9 |
| Kailyn Fields | - | 1 | 29.6 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 18.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 100.0 | 75.0 | - | 93.1 | 100.0 |
| Keyarah Berry | - | 1 | 13.6 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 63.0 | 55.6 |
| Amina Seck | - | 21 | 18.0 | 11.8 | 6.7 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 9.3 | 10.6 | -21 | -1.2 | -6.5 | 49.7 | 0.0 | 66.2 | 0.01 | 53.6 | 49.7 |
| Rylee Kalocay | - | 2 | 15.3 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5 | 12.5 | - | - | - | 53.3 | 37.5 | 75.0 | - | 65.6 | 63.3 |
| Trynce Taylor | - | 1 | 22.5 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | -233 | -12.3 | -80.8 | 55.6 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 50.6 | 55.6 |
| Riley Rismiller | - | 2 | 16.8 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 11.5 | - | - | - | 63.6 | 50.0 | 83.3 | - | 73.3 | 68.2 |
| Journey Hildebrand | - | 1 | 14.6 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 20.0 | 50.0 | - | 56.3 | 56.2 |
| Tatiana Thomas | - | 2 | 18.7 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 15.0 | -16 | -1.8 | -320.0 | 71.4 | 100.0 | 70.0 | -0.55 | 78.9 | 78.6 |
| Aaliyah Hayes | - | 21 | 24.5 | 8.6 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 8.8 | 2.4 | -22 | -1.2 | -6.4 | 36.2 | 28.9 | 69.4 | -1.23 | 45.1 | 42.2 |
| Kaelyn Flowers | - | 1 | 24.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 58.1 | 66.7 |
| Amyah Adair-Mars | - | 22 | 27.5 | 7.0 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 6.0 | 6.1 | -49 | -2.5 | -12.1 | 42.0 | 37.9 | 57.9 | -0.68 | 49.3 | 46.2 |
| Shannon Niles | - | 1 | 20.7 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 24 | 1.3 | 10.4 | 28.6 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0.65 | 44.4 | 42.9 |
| Meghan Murray | - | 2 | 15.4 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 63.6 | 63.6 |
| Alycia Triplett | - | 22 | 21.8 | 6.5 | 6.1 | 0.9 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 7.7 | 6.5 | -21 | -1.2 | -6.2 | 32.5 | 0.0 | 68.1 | 0.12 | 37.4 | 32.5 |
| Morganne Postell | - | 19 | 16.3 | 6.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 5.3 | 1.9 | -22 | -1.4 | -7.1 | 42.6 | 36.8 | 71.4 | 0.26 | 51.5 | 46.0 |
| Emory Klatt | - | 2 | 11.8 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 8.5 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | - | 77.0 | 81.2 |
| Anna Campanelli | - | 2 | 12.7 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 47.5 | 40.0 |
| Shiyah Forte | - | 10 | 19.4 | 5.7 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 4.9 | 4.9 | -3 | -0.4 | -80.0 | 38.8 | 0 | 67.9 | 0.15 | 46.5 | 38.8 |
| Amaya Asher | - | 20 | 19.4 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 5.2 | 2.8 | -46 | -2.7 | -14.8 | 36.5 | 20.7 | 58.3 | -0.82 | 43.0 | 39.4 |
| TaTianna Stovall | - | 1 | 18.9 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 33.6 | 28.6 |
| Marihya Hart | - | 1 | 9.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 56.3 | 50.0 |
| Bianca Juzzo | - | 2 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 50.6 | 50.0 |
| Madyson Elliott | - | 1 | 20.3 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -1.0 | -75 | -3.3 | -17.2 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 5.39 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Emaya Lewis | - | 1 | 11.1 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -8 | -0.4 | -4.5 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | -0.83 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Sanaiah Sandlin | - | 1 | 13.1 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | -17 | -1.0 | -17.8 | 40.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.32 | 36.8 | 40.0 |
| Janae Tyler | - | 1 | 13.8 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -15 | -0.6 | -3.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.46 | 69.4 | 100.0 |
| Brittany Campbell | - | 22 | 22.6 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 2.0 | -30 | -1.6 | -13.2 | 30.0 | 27.3 | 50.0 | -0.68 | 36.0 | 33.3 |
| Diara McBroom | - | 22 | 18.4 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 17 | 0.9 | 7.3 | 27.3 | 0.0 | 54.8 | 2.52 | 31.5 | 27.3 |
| Saniah Sandlin | - | 21 | 9.0 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 1.4 | -17 | -1.0 | -17.8 | 36.4 | 100.0 | 51.6 | -0.32 | 40.8 | 37.1 |
| Caitlyn Holmes | - | 2 | 9.8 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 56.4 | 50.0 |
| Latazia Williamson | - | 1 | 14.7 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Khalia Bryant | - | 1 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | -4.0 | 98 | 4.9 | 25.7 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.11 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Amaris Timmons | - | 1 | 5.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Dionna Gray | - | 2 | 23.9 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 7.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 29.6 | 0.0 |
| Alexis Hayes | - | 19 | 12.8 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 0.8 | -56 | -3.3 | -30.4 | 22.7 | 20.0 | 68.8 | -0.35 | 35.3 | 28.4 |
| TaMaiya Mims | - | 10 | 8.7 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1.7 | -0.4 | -25 | -3.1 | -25.5 | 35.3 | 0.0 | 62.5 | -2.18 | 41.4 | 35.3 |
| Jazmin Chambers | - | 6 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.8 | 36.4 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 36.3 | 41.7 |
| Fanta Daffe | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Gabriela Bendeck-Giron | - | 1 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Mame Kane | - | 1 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Bailey Ford | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Rhianna Williams | - | 1 | 18.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -6.0 | -55 | -2.6 | -11.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.71 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG