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Kent State Golden Flashes

Also known as: Kent State Golden Flashes
Program History

Model Outputs

2001-2002
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1427 (#8) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1317 (#10) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More โ†’ 1248 (#4) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.0 More โ†’ +14.7 (#19) HCA +4.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +17.2 (#10) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.871 (#10) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +19.4 More โ†’ 0.903 (#31) AdjNet +19.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.5 More โ†’ 0.905 (#32) AdjNet +19.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 61.2 More โ†’ 0.780 (#17) AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 61.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 63.0 More โ†’ 0.768 (#8) AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 63.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.868 (#10) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.866 (#9) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 90 | GP 35 More โ†’ 1327 (#8) RD 90 | GP 35

2002 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2001-11-23 N Hofstra L 64 - 67
2001-11-24 @ Robert Morris W 83 - 55
2001-11-25 N UC Irvine W 75 - 64
2001-11-28 N Kentucky L 68 - 82
2001-12-01 vs Chattanooga W 75 - 56
2001-12-15 @ Youngstown State L 70 - 75
2001-12-20 @ Xavier L 56 - 62
2001-12-22 @ Illinois State W 61 - 48
2001-12-29 N Cleveland State W 66 - 62
2001-12-31 vs St. Bonaventure W 93 - 82
2002-01-02 vs Ball State W 81 - 54
2002-01-05 @ Marshall W 73 - 70
2002-01-09 @ Buffalo L 65 - 66
2002-01-12 vs Ohio W 71 - 56
2002-01-16 @ Akron W 78 - 54
2002-01-19 vs Western Michigan W 75 - 72
2002-01-22 vs Buffalo W 91 - 53
2002-01-26 @ Bowling Green W 70 - 67
2002-01-29 @ Eastern Michigan W 82 - 62
2002-02-02 vs Toledo W 79 - 52
2002-02-04 vs Bowling Green W 76 - 64
2002-02-09 @ Central Michigan W 96 - 66
2002-02-13 @ Northern Illinois W 73 - 61
2002-02-16 vs Miami (OH) W 73 - 57
2002-02-19 vs Marshall W 116 - 76
2002-02-23 @ Ohio W 70 - 67
2002-02-25 vs Akron W 67 - 57
2002-03-02 @ Miami (OH) W 70 - 67
2002-03-07 N Marshall W 82 - 70
2002-03-08 N Toledo W 86 - 61
2002-03-09 N Bowling Green W 70 - 59
2002-03-14 N Oklahoma State W 69 - 61
2002-03-16 N Alabama W 71 - 58
2002-03-21 N Pittsburgh W 78 - 73
2002-03-23 N Indiana L 69 - 81

2002 Roster

No roster data available for this season.