Kent State Golden Flashes
Model Outputs
2001-2002
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1427 (#8) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1317 (#10) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1248 (#4) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +14.7 (#19) | HCA +4.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +17.2 (#10) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.871 (#10) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.903 (#31) | AdjNet +19.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.905 (#32) | AdjNet +19.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.780 (#17) | AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 61.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.768 (#8) | AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 63.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.868 (#10) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.866 (#9) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1327 (#8) | RD 90 | GP 35 |
2002 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001-11-23 | N | Hofstra | L | 64 - 67 |
| 2001-11-24 | @ | Robert Morris | W | 83 - 55 |
| 2001-11-25 | N | UC Irvine | W | 75 - 64 |
| 2001-11-28 | N | Kentucky | L | 68 - 82 |
| 2001-12-01 | vs | Chattanooga | W | 75 - 56 |
| 2001-12-15 | @ | Youngstown State | L | 70 - 75 |
| 2001-12-20 | @ | Xavier | L | 56 - 62 |
| 2001-12-22 | @ | Illinois State | W | 61 - 48 |
| 2001-12-29 | N | Cleveland State | W | 66 - 62 |
| 2001-12-31 | vs | St. Bonaventure | W | 93 - 82 |
| 2002-01-02 | vs | Ball State | W | 81 - 54 |
| 2002-01-05 | @ | Marshall | W | 73 - 70 |
| 2002-01-09 | @ | Buffalo | L | 65 - 66 |
| 2002-01-12 | vs | Ohio | W | 71 - 56 |
| 2002-01-16 | @ | Akron | W | 78 - 54 |
| 2002-01-19 | vs | Western Michigan | W | 75 - 72 |
| 2002-01-22 | vs | Buffalo | W | 91 - 53 |
| 2002-01-26 | @ | Bowling Green | W | 70 - 67 |
| 2002-01-29 | @ | Eastern Michigan | W | 82 - 62 |
| 2002-02-02 | vs | Toledo | W | 79 - 52 |
| 2002-02-04 | vs | Bowling Green | W | 76 - 64 |
| 2002-02-09 | @ | Central Michigan | W | 96 - 66 |
| 2002-02-13 | @ | Northern Illinois | W | 73 - 61 |
| 2002-02-16 | vs | Miami (OH) | W | 73 - 57 |
| 2002-02-19 | vs | Marshall | W | 116 - 76 |
| 2002-02-23 | @ | Ohio | W | 70 - 67 |
| 2002-02-25 | vs | Akron | W | 67 - 57 |
| 2002-03-02 | @ | Miami (OH) | W | 70 - 67 |
| 2002-03-07 | N | Marshall | W | 82 - 70 |
| 2002-03-08 | N | Toledo | W | 86 - 61 |
| 2002-03-09 | N | Bowling Green | W | 70 - 59 |
| 2002-03-14 | N | Oklahoma State | W | 69 - 61 |
| 2002-03-16 | N | Alabama | W | 71 - 58 |
| 2002-03-21 | N | Pittsburgh | W | 78 - 73 |
| 2002-03-23 | N | Indiana | L | 69 - 81 |
2002 Roster
No roster data available for this season.