Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 815 (#260) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 805 (#272) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 842 (#577) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.7 (#285) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.4 (#444) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.257 (#262) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.292 (#258) | NetEff -7.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.289 (#270) | AdjNet -7.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.287 (#271) | AdjNet -7.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.378 (#271) | AdjO 76.0 | AdjD 81.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.331 (#518) | AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 79.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.254 (#505) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.255 (#512) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 782 (#467) | RD 95 | GP 25 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | Saint Anselm | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Eckerd | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Tampa | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Allen | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Benedict | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Fort Valley St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Southern Ind. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Savannah St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-08 | vs | Southern Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Clark Atlanta | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Thomas More | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Tuskegee | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Lane | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Central St. (OH) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | LeMoyne-Owen | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Allen | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Benedict | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Edward Waters | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Savannah St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-11 | @ | Lane | L | 74 - 81 |
| 2026-02-14 | vs | Central St. (OH) | W | 75 - 70 |
| 2026-02-16 | vs | LeMoyne-Owen | L | 53 - 80 |
| 2026-02-19 | vs | Morehouse | L | 56 - 91 |
| 2026-02-23 | vs | Clark Atlanta | L | 78 - 86 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.