🐻⬇️🏀

Kean

Also known as: Kean
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1070 (#144) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1017 (#362) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 995 (#491) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -4.5 (#188) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -3.7 (#406) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.538 (#440) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -4.1 More → 0.394 (#41) NetEff -4.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.7 More → 0.521 (#348) AdjNet +0.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.5 More → 0.514 (#348) AdjNet +0.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 72.6 More → 0.507 (#347) AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 72.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 69.7 More → 0.532 (#337) AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 69.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.453 (#440) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.469 (#432) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 94 | GP 23 More → 983 (#400) RD 94 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ Purchase W 62 - 58
2025-11-15 @ NYU L 65 - 70
2025-11-19 vs Alvernia L 66 - 76
2025-11-20 @ Delaware St. L 64 - 66
2025-11-22 vs Baruch W 61 - 51
2025-11-25 vs Stockton W 79 - 71
2025-12-03 vs Ramapo W 65 - 58
2025-12-06 @ TCNJ W 68 - 64
2025-12-10 @ Rowan L 56 - 67
2025-12-13 vs New Jersey City L 65 - 73
2025-12-16 vs Albright L 79 - 82
2026-01-02 vs Ithaca W 74 - 69
2026-01-03 @ Stevens L 63 - 67
2026-01-07 vs Wm. Paterson W 73 - 62
2026-01-10 @ Rutgers-Camden W 77 - 64
2026-01-14 @ Rutgers-Newark W 72 - 68
2026-01-17 vs Montclair St. L 94 - 106
2026-01-21 @ Stockton L 70 - 83
2026-01-24 vs TCNJ L 77 - 81
2026-01-28 @ Ramapo L 64 - 65
2026-01-31 @ New Jersey City W 67 - 33
2026-02-04 vs Rowan L 76 - 92
2026-02-07 vs Rutgers-Camden W 65 - 49

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Daniel Dextraze - 23 35.0 15.7 8.3 2.0 1.4 1.3 2.0 13.8 12.7 -47 -2.1 -14.5 39.6 29.0 78.9 -0.61 51.4 47.3
Malachi Jeffers-Viera - 23 33.7 14.7 4.6 2.3 1.7 0.9 3.0 12.0 9.1 -49 -2.3 -16.6 45.5 25.7 80.4 -1.97 53.0 47.1
Kareem Irby - 23 28.6 13.3 2.2 1.3 1.0 0.0 1.8 10.9 5.2 -71 -3.2 -29.5 41.4 38.3 74.7 1.12 53.2 48.6
Phil Brown Jr. - 15 34.5 12.1 8.0 1.8 0.8 1.7 2.1 9.7 12.7 -59 -4.2 -29.7 47.6 16.7 79.2 -1.04 54.1 48.3
Braelen Crump - 22 33.0 8.6 2.1 3.1 1.3 0.1 1.7 7.7 5.9 -45 -2.2 -16.4 38.2 30.6 73.2 -0.09 50.5 47.1
Deaundre Clarke - 17 17.5 5.5 1.8 1.2 0.6 0.1 1.0 4.5 3.6 -29 -1.8 -24.1 50.0 28.6 60.0 -0.54 53.4 51.3
Christian Garcia - 22 18.7 3.2 5.5 0.7 0.6 0.4 1.0 2.7 6.7 39 3.2 20.4 50.8 0.0 52.6 1.21 52.0 50.8
Jaiden Dunn - 15 9.3 1.5 1.8 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 3.0 63 4.2 49.5 56.2 40.0 37.5 0.37 58.9 62.5
Ty Kline - 19 9.8 1.1 1.6 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.8 2 0.1 4.0 28.6 22.2 50.0 -0.4 36.4 35.7
Brien Dunphy - 6 4.0 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.3 - - - 16.7 25.0 50.0 - 29.1 25.0
Jaelyn Greer - 8 2.6 0.6 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.9 3 0.4 16.4 40.0 0 16.7 0.82 32.7 40.0
Rakeen King - 14 3.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 -1 -0.1 -3.5 37.5 28.6 0.0 0.37 45.0 50.0
Rafael Potenciano - 4 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0 0 0.01 100.0 100.0
Riyahd McDonald - 4 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -0.0 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG