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Kansas State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Kansas State Wildcats, Kansas State
Program History
Coach: Bruce Weber

2021 Team Stats (12 games)

63.0
PPG
74.2
Opp
-11.2
Margin
42.3%
FG%
30.6%
3P%
68.6%
FT%
31.9
RPG
12.4
APG
16.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
64.4
Adj PPG
65.3
Adj Opp PPG
#177
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2020-2021
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1100 (#109) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 956 (#202) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +66 elo More → 954 (#242) HCA +66 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.9 More → +0.5 (#156) HCA +1.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.0 More → +3.7 (#122) HCA +2.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.190 (#311) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.7 More → 0.521 (#153) AdjNet +0.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.8 More → 0.523 (#152) AdjNet +0.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 65.3 More → 0.480 (#177) AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 65.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.4 | AdjD 63.9 More → 0.466 (#201) AdjO 62.4 | AdjD 63.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.498 (#168) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.496 (#167) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 140 | GP 28 More → 992 (#167) RD 140 | GP 28

2021 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2020-11-25 vs Drake Bulldogs L 70 - 80
2020-11-27 vs Colorado Buffaloes L 58 - 76
2020-11-30 vs Kansas City Roos W 62 - 58
2020-12-05 vs UNLV Rebels L 58 - 68
2020-12-08 vs Fort Hays Tigers L 68 - 81
2020-12-11 vs Milwaukee Panthers W 76 - 75
2020-12-15 @ Iowa State Cyclones W 74 - 65
2020-12-19 vs Baylor Bears L 69 - 100
2020-12-21 vs Jacksonville Dolphins W 70 - 46
2020-12-29 vs Omaha Mavericks W 60 - 58
2021-01-02 vs TCU Horned Frogs L 60 - 67
2021-01-05 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 71 - 82
2021-01-09 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys L 54 - 70
2021-01-13 vs Iowa State Cyclones - Postponed
2021-01-16 @ Texas Longhorns L 67 - 82
2021-01-19 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 50 - 76
2021-01-23 vs West Virginia Mountaineers L 47 - 69
2021-01-27 @ Baylor Bears L 59 - 107
2021-01-30 vs Texas A&M Aggies L 61 - 68
2021-02-02 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 51 - 74
2021-02-06 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders L 62 - 73
2021-02-09 vs Texas Longhorns L 77 - 80
2021-02-13 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys L 60 - 67
2021-02-17 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 41 - 59
2021-02-20 @ TCU Horned Frogs W 62 - 54
2021-02-23 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 62 - 57
2021-02-27 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 43 - 65
2021-03-06 vs Iowa State Cyclones W 61 - 56
2021-03-10 @ TCU Horned Frogs W 71 - 50
2021-03-11 @ Baylor Bears L 68 - 74

2021 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nijel Pack Nijel Pack G 23 33.5 12.9 3.8 3.7 1.2 0.0 2.1 5.0 14.5 -71 23 -3.1 -3.8 45.2 45.5 85.2 3.35 116.6 58.3
Mike McGuirl Mike McGuirl G 28 34.3 11.4 3.7 3.6 1.1 0.1 2.8 5.4 11.8 -186 28 -6.6 -8.0 34.0 31.2 78.9 -1.59 96.0 43.7
Dajuan Gordon Dajuan Gordon - 24 28.5 8.9 5.5 1.4 1.2 0.0 2.4 3.9 10.8 -109 24 -4.5 -6.5 33.3 22.6 75.0 0.25 102.8 37.1
Davion Bradford Davion Bradford C 28 21.5 7.9 4.4 0.2 0.2 0.4 1.3 2.8 9.0 -53 28 -1.9 -3.7 63.6 0 51.2 3.07 115.7 63.6
Selton Miguel Selton Miguel - 28 27.9 7.4 3.1 2.2 0.9 0.1 2.5 3.5 7.8 -133 28 -4.8 -7.0 33.7 28.6 65.8 -1.04 89.8 38.8
Antonio Gordon Antonio Gordon F 20 24.1 5.9 5.7 0.8 0.6 0.3 1.4 3.2 8.7 -149 20 -7.5 -12.8 45.3 23.5 60.0 -1.98 81.0 48.4
Kaosi Ezeagu Kaosi Ezeagu - 18 16.2 4.9 3.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.2 1.7 6.3 -103 18 -5.7 -14.5 66.7 0 72.7 -0.89 112.1 66.7
Rudi Williams Rudi Williams - 26 18.6 4.9 2.7 1.4 0.4 0.1 1.3 2.0 6.2 -95 26 -3.7 -8.0 43.1 38.9 77.8 0.47 115.5 50.0
Montavious Murphy Montavious Murphy F 3 12.7 3.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.7 - - - - 50.0 0 0 -3.46 91.7 50.0
Luke Kasubke Luke Kasubke - 16 16.0 2.2 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.7 1.8 2.2 -82 15 -5.5 -14.1 25.0 15.0 69.2 -1.59 51.9 30.4
Carlton Linguard Carlton Linguard - 17 6.5 2.2 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 3.1 -34 16 -2.1 -12.3 30.0 0.0 0 -2.2 190.0 30.0
Seryee Lewis Seryee Lewis - 17 5.6 1.9 1.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.8 2.0 -48 17 -2.8 -19.9 69.2 0 28.6 -3.1 99.5 69.2
Joe Petrakis Joe Petrakis - 11 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.5 -11 10 -1.1 -13.9 25.0 0.0 50.0 -1.54 153.7 25.0
Drew Honas Drew Honas G 9 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 -12 8 -1.5 -45.4 50.0 0.0 0 -2.37 50.0 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG