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Kansas State

Also known as: Kansas State Wildcats, Kansas State
Program History

2017 Team Stats (10 games)

67.4
PPG
71.1
Opp
-3.7
Margin
44.0%
FG%
36.1%
3P%
66.4%
FT%
29.8
RPG
13.3
APG
12.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
74.3
Adj PPG
61.6
Adj Opp PPG
#34
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1226 (#58) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1174 (#58) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 1030 (#128) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ +13.8 (#34) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ +13.1 (#33) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.669 (#78) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +19.7 More โ†’ 0.906 (#31) AdjNet +19.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.9 More โ†’ 0.908 (#32) AdjNet +19.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 61.6 More โ†’ 0.759 (#34) AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 61.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 64.3 More โ†’ 0.641 (#51) AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 64.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.777 (#41) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.757 (#44) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 109 | GP 34 More โ†’ 1172 (#57) RD 109 | GP 34

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 vs Western Illinois Leathernecks W 82 - 55
2016-11-15 vs Omaha Mavericks W 81 - 68
2016-11-20 vs Hampton Pirates W 89 - 67
2016-11-22 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 61 - 40
2016-11-25 vs Boston College Eagles W 72 - 54
2016-11-26 @ Maryland Terrapins L 68 - 69
2016-11-30 vs Green Bay Phoenix W 80 - 61
2016-12-03 @ Saint Louis Billikens W 84 - 53
2016-12-06 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers W 74 - 55
2016-12-10 vs Washington State Cougars W 70 - 56
2016-12-17 @ Colorado State Rams W 89 - 70
2016-12-21 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 67 - 54
2016-12-30 vs Texas Longhorns W 65 - 62
2017-01-03 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 88 - 90
2017-01-07 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 75 - 64
2017-01-10 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 65 - 66
2017-01-14 vs Baylor Bears L 68 - 77
2017-01-18 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys W 96 - 88
2017-01-21 vs West Virginia Mountaineers W 79 - 75
2017-01-24 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 65 - 70
2017-01-28 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 58 - 70
2017-02-01 vs TCU Horned Frogs L 80 - 86
2017-02-04 @ Baylor Bears W 56 - 54
2017-02-06 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 71 - 74
2017-02-11 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 66 - 85
2017-02-15 vs Iowa State Cyclones L 79 - 87
2017-02-18 @ Texas Longhorns W 64 - 61
2017-02-22 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys L 68 - 80
2017-02-25 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 51 - 81
2017-03-01 @ TCU Horned Frogs W 75 - 74
2017-03-04 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders W 61 - 48
2017-03-09 @ Baylor Bears W 70 - 64
2017-03-10 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 50 - 51
2017-03-17 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 61 - 75

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Wesley Iwundu Wesley Iwundu F 23 31.0 13.0 6.3 3.4 1.0 0.3 2.1 5.6 16.3 134 31 4.3 6.0 47.3 45.5 72.2 -1.66 97.5 53.1
Kamau Stokes Kamau Stokes G 23 33.3 12.3 2.4 4.2 1.2 0.0 2.8 5.8 11.5 211 31 6.8 9.0 33.6 30.7 72.2 5.05 89.4 42.2
Barry Brown Barry Brown G 23 33.0 11.3 3.1 2.5 2.5 0.2 2.0 5.6 12.0 210 31 6.8 9.1 41.9 35.4 62.3 2.52 85.0 48.4
D.J. Johnson D.J. Johnson F 22 25.9 10.7 5.1 0.5 0.8 1.6 1.4 3.0 14.3 157 30 5.2 8.9 57.6 0 62.3 0.31 132.1 57.6
Dean Wade Dean Wade - 23 29.5 10.2 4.7 2.1 0.9 0.7 1.0 4.5 13.1 239 31 7.7 12.0 50.0 36.6 66.7 6.46 101.4 57.2
Xavier Sneed Xavier Sneed - 23 18.5 7.3 2.7 0.5 0.8 0.1 1.0 2.6 7.9 70 31 2.3 5.4 42.4 35.9 57.7 0.46 118.5 54.2
Isaiah Maurice Isaiah Maurice F 21 8.6 3.0 1.9 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.8 1.2 3.7 -41 26 -1.6 -7.9 57.7 0.0 16.7 -3.54 111.7 57.7
C. Ervin II C. Ervin II G 23 14.1 2.9 2.5 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.7 1.1 5.9 7 31 0.2 0.7 50.0 62.5 81.8 -1.55 108.6 59.6
Brian Patrick Brian Patrick G 13 5.6 2.9 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.7 3.0 -22 21 -1.0 -8.3 66.7 66.7 0 -2.68 211.1 88.9
Dante Williams Dante Williams - 4 4.5 1.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.2 0.2 3.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 - 350.0 100.0
Mason Schoen Mason Schoen G 8 1.9 0.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 -15 12 -1.2 -33.3 50.0 100.0 0.0 -2.31 104.2 75.0
Austin Budke Austin Budke F 13 4.9 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 -10 21 -0.5 -4.1 22.2 20.0 40.0 -1.87 40.2 27.8
Zach Winter Zach Winter G 8 2.2 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 -22 14 -1.6 -33.7 33.3 0.0 0 -3.45 83.3 33.3
Pierson McAtee Pierson McAtee F 9 1.9 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 -18 14 -1.3 -35.0 0 0 0 -3.19 0 0
Kade Kinnamon Kade Kinnamon G 4 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1 8 0.1 5.9 0 0 0 -0.14 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG