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Kansas State

Also known as: Kansas State Wildcats, Kansas State
Program History

Model Outputs

2002-2003
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1055 (#127) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1002 (#156) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +112 elo More → 931 (#251) HCA +112 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.8 More → +8.8 (#55) HCA +3.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +7.7 (#66) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.643 (#90) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +14.0 More → 0.834 (#53) AdjNet +14.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.2 More → 0.838 (#53) AdjNet +14.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 63.0 More → 0.672 (#56) AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 63.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 64.6 More → 0.580 (#87) AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 64.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.637 (#88) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.619 (#92) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 132 | GP 30 More → 1017 (#147) RD 132 | GP 30

2003 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2002-11-23 N Brigham Young L 64 - 73
2002-11-24 N Toledo L 50 - 58
2002-11-25 N Michigan W 82 - 71
2002-11-30 vs Northwestern L 55 - 59
2002-12-04 vs Arkansas–Pine Bluff W 76 - 39
2002-12-07 @ Green Bay L 64 - 68
2002-12-11 vs Texas–Rio Grande Valley W 102 - 68
2002-12-14 @ Wichita State W 79 - 66
2002-12-20 vs Lipscomb W 88 - 64
2002-12-22 vs Oregon State W 90 - 72
2002-12-29 vs Monmouth W 73 - 64
2003-01-02 vs Saint Louis W 65 - 48
2003-01-06 vs UCF W 71 - 59
2003-01-11 vs Texas Tech W 68 - 44
2003-01-15 @ Colorado L 63 - 69
2003-01-18 @ Kansas L 64 - 81
2003-01-22 vs Nebraska W 77 - 53
2003-01-25 @ Texas A&M L 66 - 79
2003-02-01 vs Oklahoma L 89 - 91
2003-02-05 @ Oklahoma State L 55 - 63
2003-02-08 vs Kansas L 64 - 82
2003-02-11 vs Colorado W 62 - 54
2003-02-15 @ Missouri L 63 - 71
2003-02-19 vs Baylor L 57 - 66
2003-02-22 @ Iowa State L 61 - 64
2003-02-25 @ Nebraska L 61 - 68
2003-03-01 vs Missouri L 70 - 77
2003-03-04 @ Texas L 60 - 74
2003-03-08 vs Iowa State W 74 - 63
2003-03-13 N Colorado L 76 - 77

2003 Roster

No roster data available for this season.