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Kansas State

Also known as: Kansas State Wildcats, Kansas State
Program History

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

79.9
PPG
81.9
Opp
-2.0
Margin
46.0%
FG%
36.7%
3P%
73.2%
FT%
33.4
RPG
16.6
APG
12.7
TO
83.3
Pace
84.2
AdjO
76.6
AdjD
#91
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 926 (#238) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1006 (#175) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 936 (#615) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +7.4 (#90) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +16.8 (#121) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.419 (#224) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +4.3 More → 0.607 (#142) NetEff +4.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.1 More → 0.761 (#90) AdjNet +10.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.3 More → 0.767 (#88) AdjNet +10.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 84.2 | AdjD 76.6 More → 0.667 (#91) AdjO 84.2 | AdjD 76.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 78.7 More → 0.471 (#397) AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 78.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.796 (#135) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.735 (#158) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 140 | GP 30 More → 1055 (#188) RD 140 | GP 30

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 93 - 64
2025-11-08 vs Bellarmine Knights W 98 - 71
2025-11-13 vs California Golden Bears W 99 - 96
2025-11-17 vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane W 84 - 83
2025-11-20 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs W 98 - 77
2025-11-21 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 85 - 86
2025-11-25 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 69 - 86
2025-12-01 vs Bowling Green Falcons L 66 - 82
2025-12-08 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 108 - 49
2025-12-13 @ Creighton Bluejays W 83 - 76
2025-12-20 vs South Dakota Coyotes W 106 - 76
2025-12-28 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 94 - 85
2026-01-03 vs BYU Cougars L 73 - 83
2026-01-07 @ Arizona Wildcats L 76 - 101
2026-01-10 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 84 - 87
2026-01-14 vs UCF Knights L 73 - 82
2026-01-20 vs Utah Utes W 81 - 78
2026-01-24 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 62 - 86
2026-01-27 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 54 - 59
2026-02-01 vs Iowa State Cyclones L 61 - 95
2026-02-07 @ TCU Horned Frogs L 82 - 84
2026-02-11 vs Cincinnati Bearcats L 62 - 91
2026-02-14 @ Houston Cougars L 64 - 78
2026-02-17 vs Baylor Bears W 90 - 74
2026-02-21 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 72 - 100
2026-02-25 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 70 - 79
2026-02-28 vs TCU Horned Frogs L 68 - 77
2026-03-03 vs West Virginia Mountaineers W 65 - 63
2026-03-07 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 85 - 104
2026-03-10 @ BYU Cougars L 91 - 105

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
P.J. Haggerty P.J. Haggerty G 29 35.1 23.9 5.2 3.8 1.1 0.0 3.1 18.1 12.8 14 14.0 29.1 49.5 34.3 72.9 0.19 57.0 53.0
A. Bashir Jr. A. Bashir Jr. G 16 24.0 13.2 2.3 2.4 0.4 0.0 1.2 10.4 6.8 88 4.9 9.4 42.8 45.0 84.6 0.86 61.7 60.5
N. Johnson N. Johnson G 30 33.0 12.8 4.9 4.7 2.4 0.3 2.4 9.5 13.0 -48 -2.3 -11.1 45.1 41.3 84.6 -0.06 59.8 55.4
D. Castillo D. Castillo - 30 28.5 10.5 1.8 1.7 0.4 0.0 1.3 9.1 4.1 -27 -1.2 -2.2 40.7 36.2 83.3 -0.47 53.7 50.5
K. McGriff K. McGriff F 26 20.3 9.4 4.3 0.9 0.7 1.0 1.0 5.7 9.6 71 3.9 8.8 66.9 20.0 69.7 0.8 69.2 67.2
Andrej Kostic Andrej Kostic - 23 13.8 5.2 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.9 4.6 2.8 1 1.0 34.3 37.7 37.5 76.9 0.02 53.7 51.9
T. Manning T. Manning - 28 21.0 4.4 5.2 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 3.5 7.8 12 0.6 2.0 48.5 20.0 69.7 -0.46 54.7 51.0
Elias Rapieque Elias Rapieque - 19 15.6 3.9 2.7 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.7 3.3 5.2 43 2.9 6.7 46.8 40.0 35.3 0.02 53.3 54.8
CJ Jones CJ Jones - 30 16.8 3.3 1.6 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.8 4.1 1.9 -2 -2.0 -5.3 30.1 22.6 84.6 -0.11 38.5 35.8
Dorin Buca Dorin Buca - 25 12.4 3.1 3.0 0.4 0.2 1.2 1.1 2.4 4.4 -4 -4.0 -58.9 49.2 20.0 53.6 -0.08 52.5 50.8
M. Johnson M. Johnson F 12 6.7 2.9 1.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.8 1.2 -44 -0.7 -57.4 32.4 35.5 66.7 -0.23 49.5 48.5
M. Ikegwuruka M. Ikegwuruka - 9 13.6 2.0 2.2 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.6 1.6 3.9 2 0.2 0.7 57.1 0 50.0 0.07 57.1 57.1
Stephen Osei Stephen Osei - 3 3.0 0.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -0.3 -5 -1.7 -22.7 33.3 0 0 -0.08 33.3 33.3
E. Wilson E. Wilson G 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -117 -9.8 -29.1 0 0 0 -0.94 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG