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Juniata

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Juniata
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 955 (#458) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 902 (#489) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 962 (#584) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -6.3 (#208) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -2.7 (#389) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.316 (#579) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -15.4 More → 0.144 (#589) AdjNet -15.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -15.5 More → 0.139 (#588) AdjNet -15.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.8 | AdjD 72.9 More → 0.286 (#561) AdjO 62.8 | AdjD 72.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 69.1 More → 0.536 (#328) AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 69.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.443 (#447) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.460 (#440) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 21 More → 989 (#388) RD 99 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs Mount Aloysius W 80 - 63
2025-11-11 @ Westminster (PA) L 63 - 76
2025-11-15 vs Alfred St. W 97 - 65
2025-11-19 @ Susquehanna L 66 - 68
2025-11-22 vs Drew L 66 - 87
2025-12-03 vs Catholic L 71 - 86
2025-12-06 vs Scranton L 61 - 79
2025-12-10 vs Bethany (WV) L 61 - 65
2025-12-29 vs Central Penn W 119 - 40
2025-12-30 vs Franciscan L 79 - 85
2026-01-03 @ Messiah L 75 - 78
2026-01-07 @ Wilkes L 43 - 67
2026-01-11 vs Goucher W 79 - 66
2026-01-14 vs Elizabethtown W 79 - 71
2026-01-17 @ Moravian L 81 - 87
2026-01-21 @ Lycoming W 66 - 59
2026-01-24 @ Drew W 75 - 72
2026-01-28 vs Susquehanna W 62 - 43
2026-01-31 @ Scranton L 67 - 82
2026-02-04 @ Catholic L 56 - 71
2026-02-07 vs Wilkes L 79 - 91

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ty Kocak - 21 29.2 16.8 4.8 2.1 1.6 0.3 1.9 12.1 11.6 -35 -2.3 -10.6 45.7 23.1 64.4 0.06 53.0 46.9
Joe Bruce - 20 26.1 10.7 2.4 1.4 1.1 0.1 1.4 8.8 5.4 -31 -2.1 -11.6 43.2 36.6 59.5 0.87 55.0 53.7
Malcolm Griffith - 20 20.6 8.8 4.8 1.4 0.9 0.5 1.3 7.3 7.7 5 0.4 2.1 49.7 0.0 70.7 1.33 53.0 49.7
Jayden Bilger - 21 24.1 7.4 5.3 1.7 0.5 0.7 2.0 6.8 6.9 -22 -1.5 -9.6 42.3 26.9 62.2 -1.8 47.9 44.7
Ayden Hurley - 19 17.5 6.6 2.8 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.8 7.0 3.2 18 1.4 10.2 31.6 29.2 93.8 0.73 44.6 41.4
William Littles Jr. - 21 20.5 6.4 1.3 1.0 0.9 0.0 0.9 6.4 2.2 -7 -0.5 -2.3 37.8 29.5 50.0 0.01 47.8 47.4
Jaiden Aze - 21 17.6 5.2 5.0 0.4 0.9 0.0 1.0 3.4 7.3 -26 -1.7 -12.5 53.5 0 59.6 -0.86 57.2 53.5
Tre Yawn - 19 23.9 4.6 1.9 3.6 1.4 0.2 2.1 3.7 5.9 -25 -1.8 -12.5 45.1 16.7 52.4 0.09 49.2 46.5
Noah Bailey - 21 12.7 4.3 1.9 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.7 3.3 3.5 3 0.2 2.6 41.4 40.5 75.0 -0.25 57.1 53.6
Marek Hoyt - 13 5.1 1.8 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.2 20 2.5 393.4 43.5 23.1 100.0 0.21 51.2 50.0
Nico McNeill - 8 1.9 1.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 8 1.6 95.5 66.7 50.0 75.0 -1.11 84.0 83.3
Melchizedek Jonah - 16 6.0 0.9 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 1.1 1.8 -9 -1.0 -12.4 22.2 0.0 60.0 -0.27 31.2 22.2
Benjamin Landesman - 15 3.5 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.0 18 2.2 36.5 40.0 0.0 100.0 -0.63 44.1 40.0
Max Henderson - 5 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.4 - - - 66.7 0 0.0 - 42.0 66.7
Dylan Kreis - 8 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 23 4.6 452.5 50.0 50.0 0 0.21 75.0 75.0
Jordan Shifler - 11 3.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 18 3.0 52.0 33.3 25.0 0 0.09 38.9 38.9
Nat Curley - 5 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Parker Wood - 10 1.9 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 12 1.7 523.6 33.3 0 0 -0.01 33.3 33.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG