Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 951 (#341) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 993 (#325) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -4.9 (#398) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.013 (#631) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.132 (#592) | AdjNet -16.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.132 (#591) | AdjNet -16.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.268 (#575) | AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 78.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.474 (#356) | AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 75.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.419 (#384) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.425 (#376) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 913 (#339) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-15 | @ | Ill. Springfield | L | 64 - 99 |
| 2023-11-25 | @ | Quincy | L | 45 - 64 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Rice | - | 1 | 29.0 | 22.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | 58 | 4.8 | 32.0 | 60.0 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 0.35 | 69.3 | 66.7 |
| Max Kunnert | - | 1 | 26.0 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 12 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | 1.31 | 88.9 | 88.9 |
| Jayden Johnson | - | 1 | 16.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | -36 | -2.6 | -24.8 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.27 | 53.3 | 44.4 |
| Khalil Ross | - | 1 | 14.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 5 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 71.4 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.68 | 69.8 | 71.4 |
| Jacob Hanna | - | 1 | 26.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 8 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 1.34 | 48.4 | 44.4 |
| Jack Weber | - | 1 | 24.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | -5 | -1.0 | -1.9 | 83.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.63 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Isaiah Esker | - | 1 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 15 | 3.0 | 9.4 | 60.0 | 0 | 75.0 | 0.55 | 66.6 | 60.0 |
| Jason Bergstrom | - | 1 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -7 | -2.3 | -35.2 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.75 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Yamani Shareef | - | 1 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 11 | 2.8 | 49.7 | 20.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.66 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Evan Altman | - | 1 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | -26 | -5.2 | -10.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 18.8 | 0.0 |
| Lane Thomann | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Britton Dutton | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle Ingram | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3 | 1.5 | 720.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.77 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jorden Williams | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13 | 1.4 | 143.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Donaven Younger | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG