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Johnson C. Smith

Season: 2026 2024 2016 2015 2014
Also known as: Johnson C. Smith
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1038 (#221) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1075 (#193) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1033 (#237) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +12.7 (#184) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.591 (#412) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.2 More → 0.505 (#380) AdjNet +0.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.3 More → 0.490 (#382) AdjNet -0.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 54.1 | AdjD 54.7 More → 0.486 (#380) AdjO 54.1 | AdjD 54.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.6 | AdjD 54.8 More → 0.585 (#252) AdjO 58.6 | AdjD 54.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.725 (#186) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.711 (#200) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-31 vs JWU Charlotte - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.