Johnson C. Smith
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 988 (#253) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 904 (#430) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 993 (#324) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -4.9 (#306) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.3 (#336) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.403 (#392) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.618 (#245) | NetEff +4.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.364 (#480) | AdjNet -4.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.358 (#480) | AdjNet -5.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.417 (#480) | AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 77.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.483 (#338) | AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 75.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.441 (#366) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.452 (#352) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 947 (#284) | RD 97 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Ga. Southern | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Allen | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Virginia-Lynchburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Morris | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Lenoir-Rhyne | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Elizabeth City St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Lincoln Memorial | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Virginia Union | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Bowie St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Emory & Henry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-05 | @ | Lincoln (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Elizabeth City St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Virginia St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-12 | vs | Bluefield St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Virginia Union | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Fayetteville St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Shaw | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Livingstone | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Winston-Salem | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-02 | @ | Claflin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Livingstone | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Livingstone | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Pettigrew | - | 18 | 33.0 | 18.2 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 13.3 | 10.6 | 56 | 3.1 | 22.5 | 46.7 | 38.7 | 68.5 | 1.29 | 56.9 | 52.7 |
| Jamauri Bryant | - | 17 | 30.5 | 16.6 | 6.5 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 11.4 | 15.2 | 74 | 4.6 | 28.3 | 51.0 | 36.1 | 75.8 | 0.87 | 60.0 | 54.4 |
| Jared Davis | - | 20 | 26.0 | 11.9 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 7.5 | 9.3 | 24 | 1.3 | 10.2 | 60.3 | 41.2 | 71.0 | 1.37 | 65.6 | 62.6 |
| Anthony Williams | - | 19 | 21.7 | 6.7 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 19 | 1.1 | 13.3 | 40.7 | 36.4 | 92.3 | 0.55 | 53.9 | 51.3 |
| Marc Raye | - | 19 | 13.4 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 4.5 | 3.9 | -46 | -2.4 | -60.1 | 43.5 | 51.4 | 81.2 | -4.09 | 59.5 | 54.1 |
| Javian Cannady | - | 19 | 23.7 | 5.4 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 5.0 | 6.2 | -5 | -0.3 | -3.8 | 37.9 | 41.7 | 68.4 | -1.57 | 46.1 | 40.5 |
| Jeremee Bryant | - | 6 | 8.9 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 104 | 5.5 | 168.5 | 54.5 | 60.0 | 40.0 | -0.19 | 66.1 | 68.2 |
| Orlando Hudson | - | 11 | 15.8 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 68 | 6.8 | 42.6 | 35.7 | 44.4 | 80.0 | 2.24 | 58.3 | 42.9 |
| Bradlee Wolf | - | 19 | 14.2 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 3.5 | -53 | -3.1 | -115.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 64.7 | -3.4 | 55.4 | 50.0 |
| Justin Bumbray | - | 13 | 20.6 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 3.5 | 3.8 | 6 | 0.4 | 3.6 | 37.0 | 25.9 | 75.0 | 2.25 | 47.5 | 44.6 |
| Jessiah Pierre Johnson | - | 15 | 10.7 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 32 | 2.5 | 50.0 | 47.6 | 46.2 | 0.0 | 1.65 | 59.4 | 61.9 |
| Travon Gray | - | 14 | 15.1 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 3.1 | -15 | -1.1 | -12.6 | 48.0 | 0.0 | 55.0 | -2.04 | 51.8 | 48.0 |
| Christopher Mitchell | - | 6 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 80.0 | 100.0 | 66.7 | - | 87.0 | 90.0 |
| Tyson Bates | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Cameron McDonald | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG