Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 961 (#388) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 942 (#363) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 916 (#598) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.7 (#462) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.005 (#644) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.002 (#475) | NetEff -53.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.058 (#623) | AdjNet -24.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.057 (#621) | AdjNet -23.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.180 (#632) | AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 76.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.368 (#564) | AdjO 53.0 | AdjD 59.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.263 (#553) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.285 (#543) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 885 (#391) | RD 136 | GP 18 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | High Point | L | 26 - 84 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Virginia-Lynchburg | W | 80 - 64 |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | North Greenville | L | 51 - 53 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Middle Georgia | L | 42 - 47 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | UAH | L | 53 - 95 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Mars Hill | W | 67 - 48 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Virginia Union | L | 49 - 53 |
| 2025-12-07 | @ | Lincoln (PA) | W | 50 - 49 |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Albany St. (GA) | L | 63 - 75 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Young Harris | L | 45 - 75 |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | Converse | L | 51 - 54 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | JWU Charlotte | W | 57 - 46 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Bowie St. | W | 54 - 50 |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Elizabeth City St. | W | 60 - 51 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Virginia St. | L | 55 - 69 |
| 2026-01-12 | vs | Bluefield St. | L | 64 - 66 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Virginia Union | L | 42 - 43 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Fayetteville St. | L | 64 - 74 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Biliter | - | 2 | 30.2 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 11.5 | 7.5 | - | - | - | 47.8 | 36.4 | 100.0 | - | 60.6 | 56.5 |
| Hailey Blackwell | - | 1 | 34.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 39 | 2.6 | 19.2 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 2.22 | 90.2 | 83.3 |
| Karimah Nix | - | 1 | 22.0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 30 | 2.0 | 17.2 | 75.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 2.49 | 78.8 | 75.0 |
| La'Niya Simes | - | 15 | 28.2 | 11.8 | 9.1 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 3.2 | 9.6 | 11.5 | 16 | 0.9 | 11.8 | 49.3 | 30.0 | 64.0 | -0.49 | 53.3 | 50.3 |
| Hailey Brooks | - | 2 | 28.7 | 11.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.5 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 35.3 | 16.7 | 100.0 | - | 53.6 | 41.2 |
| Salote Franklin | - | 15 | 27.1 | 9.7 | 7.9 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 8.1 | 11.2 | 18 | 1.1 | 13.6 | 44.3 | 16.7 | 68.5 | 0.67 | 50.1 | 44.7 |
| Emery Tollett | - | 2 | 32.5 | 8.5 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.5 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 14.3 | 100.0 | - | 48.2 | 36.7 |
| Ramsey Cureton | - | 1 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 12 | 0.7 | 8.9 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 1.94 | 82.0 | 75.0 |
| Maya Robinson | - | 1 | 31.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 29 | 2.4 | 21.9 | 37.5 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 0.28 | 41.0 | 43.8 |
| Tameia Shaw | - | 15 | 23.9 | 7.3 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 3.2 | 8.6 | 0.9 | -53 | -2.9 | -63.7 | 33.3 | 18.8 | 56.2 | 0.42 | 38.4 | 35.7 |
| Gibson Boykin | - | 2 | 33.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 8.0 | -1.5 | - | - | - | 18.8 | 16.7 | 100.0 | - | 28.9 | 21.9 |
| Sabrina Lewis | - | 7 | 7.6 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 4.7 | 0.4 | -22 | -2.4 | -37.2 | 36.4 | 38.1 | 0 | -3.15 | 48.5 | 48.5 |
| Kelsey Holt | - | 2 | 18.2 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.5 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Egypt Coleman | - | 14 | 14.9 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 4.9 | 3.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -1.5 | 32.4 | 0 | 53.1 | 2.2 | 37.2 | 32.4 |
| Bruni Martinez | - | 1 | 29.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 72 | 4.8 | 37.1 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.98 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Kyshonna Brown | - | 13 | 14.6 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 4.5 | 1.2 | -2 | -0.1 | -1.0 | 37.3 | 20.0 | 66.7 | -2.58 | 40.6 | 39.0 |
| Rylee Ghent | - | 15 | 12.4 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.6 | -18 | -1.0 | -24.5 | 30.0 | 12.5 | 64.0 | -0.6 | 38.0 | 31.7 |
| Nia Hunter | - | 14 | 9.7 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.5 | 0.6 | -2 | -0.1 | -4.0 | 32.7 | 15.8 | 68.8 | 0.37 | 41.0 | 35.7 |
| Nyasia James | - | 15 | 29.2 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 4.8 | 1.7 | -17 | -0.9 | -20.0 | 16.7 | 11.5 | 54.3 | -0.81 | 26.3 | 18.8 |
| Serenity Johnson | - | 1 | 22.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | -2.0 | -20 | -1.5 | -37.2 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.05 | 19.0 | 14.3 |
| Amya Graham | - | 13 | 8.4 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.2 | -22 | -1.6 | -150.0 | 53.8 | 0 | 56.2 | -0.6 | 56.0 | 53.8 |
| Jadyn Cooper | - | 1 | 26.3 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | -7.0 | 7 | 0.4 | 8.9 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.48 | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| Shaiya Francis | - | 1 | 24.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Brianna Johnson | - | 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -9 | -1.3 | -15.8 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.65 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Jhaid Westbrook | - | 10 | 14.9 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 9 | 0.6 | 12.6 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 71.4 | 0.77 | 36.8 | 30.0 |
| Taylor Turner | - | 14 | 7.5 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 0.0 | -22 | -1.6 | -61.0 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 71.4 | -0.5 | 35.8 | 31.0 |
| Kamryn Williamson | - | 14 | 13.5 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 41 | 2.6 | 64.6 | 22.9 | 7.7 | 50.0 | -0.68 | 25.1 | 24.3 |
| Alicia Cruz | - | 2 | 7.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Kaylen Schultz | - | 2 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Lyric Prinzi | - | 2 | 9.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Somer Wilson | - | 9 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.2 | -52 | -2.6 | -24.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.43 | 34.9 | 33.3 |
| Alexis Healy | - | 2 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kelsey Cruz | - | 2 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | -157 | -8.3 | -32.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ashley Gonzalez | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36 | 3.0 | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Asha Shareef | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -44 | -4.9 | -122.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 |
| Tanahia Hairston | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Robin Stevenson | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Nakeria Scales | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -0.2 | -5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.24 | 0 | 0 |
| De'aisjah Somerville | - | 1 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | -5.0 | -12 | -0.9 | -24.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.18 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Saidah Muhammad | - | 1 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG