🐻⬇️🏀

Johns Hopkins

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Johns Hopkins
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1453 (#1) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1471 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1312 (#3) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +28.3 (#20) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +25.1 (#93) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.976 (#168) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +38.8 More → 0.997 (#79) NetEff +38.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +40.7 More → 0.991 (#108) AdjNet +40.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +40.5 More → 0.992 (#115) AdjNet +40.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 51.3 More → 0.895 (#126) AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 51.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 50.1 More → 0.896 (#18) AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 50.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.962 (#21) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.959 (#16) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 120 | GP 21 More → 1525 (#3) RD 120 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Luther - Incomplete score
2025-11-08 @ Wartburg - Incomplete score
2025-11-11 vs Trinity Washington - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Catholic - Incomplete score
2025-11-16 vs Chris. Newport - Incomplete score
2025-11-18 @ Morgan St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ York (PA) - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 @ Washington Col. - Incomplete score
2025-12-31 vs Trinity (CT) - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Gettysburg - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ Franklin & Marshall - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 @ McDaniel - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Muhlenberg - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 vs Dickinson - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Haverford - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 @ Gettysburg - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Ursinus - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Haylie Strum - 1 22.0 12.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 5.0 5 0.3 1.7 55.6 66.7 0 3.11 66.7 66.7
Lexi Thomas - 1 21.0 11.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 4.0 -1 -0.1 -0.4 80.0 75.0 0 0.65 110.0 110.0
Jocelyn Goldstein - 15 19.9 10.7 5.5 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.3 7.5 9.8 13 0.7 4.9 60.7 25.0 60.5 -0.13 62.2 61.2
Kendall Dunham - 16 27.0 10.6 3.6 2.3 2.1 0.0 1.7 8.8 8.2 26 1.3 6.4 42.9 40.0 77.1 1.54 54.4 50.7
Lauren Knudson - 16 21.1 9.7 1.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.6 8.2 4.7 54 2.7 15.8 42.4 32.6 78.9 1.47 55.2 53.0
Macie Feldman - 16 25.5 8.2 10.0 4.4 1.1 0.5 2.8 9.1 12.4 130 8.1 36.1 35.2 20.0 56.8 -0.92 39.9 36.6
Faith Williamson - 16 16.7 7.8 1.5 1.3 1.1 0.1 1.4 6.8 3.7 52 2.9 20.8 33.0 31.4 77.8 0.84 47.1 38.1
Layla Henderson - 16 18.7 7.4 3.5 0.7 1.8 0.1 1.6 7.6 4.3 60 12.0 27.6 36.4 27.9 61.3 5.15 44.2 41.3
Emily Collins - 16 16.0 5.6 6.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.9 4.5 7.6 101 5.0 42.9 50.0 0.0 60.0 0.96 52.8 50.0
Sameera Elmasri - 3 11.5 4.7 2.3 0.7 0.3 0.3 1.0 4.0 3.3 - - - 50.0 0.0 100.0 1.5 54.3 50.0
Grace Soltes - 16 19.5 4.0 5.2 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.2 5.1 4.8 111 6.5 42.2 33.3 16.7 75.0 3.94 38.7 37.7
Katie Hardtke - 1 17.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 -44 -2.4 -26.5 25.0 25.0 50.0 -2.55 41.0 37.5
Aria Mazza - 8 7.2 3.1 3.0 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.5 3.8 3.2 82 10.2 255.9 33.3 25.0 50.0 1.21 39.4 38.3
Stephanie Theodossakos - 16 12.1 2.6 2.4 0.3 1.1 0.6 0.5 2.6 3.9 85 5.0 52.8 36.6 25.0 58.3 1.02 45.4 42.7
Quinn ODonnell - 8 6.7 2.5 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.2 60 6.7 187.3 29.2 35.7 100.0 0.73 40.9 39.6
Beth Corelli - 16 10.0 2.4 1.4 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.6 2.8 1.8 85 5.0 90.3 35.6 21.7 50.0 0.93 41.4 41.1
Serena Mezzetta - 7 6.9 2.1 2.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.9 65 9.3 652.7 70.0 0 25.0 2.02 63.8 70.0
Isabella Elizondo - 7 5.9 0.9 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 1.0 0.9 56 8.0 562.3 28.6 33.3 50.0 1.92 38.1 35.7
Amanda Parker - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Natalie Beaver - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20 1.1 9.0 0 0 0 1.24 0 0
Kadence Popejoy - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 0.7 34.8 0 0 0 - 0 0
Cadence Okerman - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG