Johns Hopkins
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1168 (#47) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1207 (#34) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1143 (#50) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.1 (#52) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.2 (#260) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.795 (#297) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.809 (#231) | AdjNet +12.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.805 (#230) | AdjNet +12.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.678 (#241) | AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 69.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.738 (#73) | AdjO 78.3 | AdjD 67.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.731 (#171) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.744 (#146) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1215 (#55) | RD 97 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Marymount (VA) | W | 76 - 67 |
| 2025-11-11 | @ | York (PA) | L | 73 - 76 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Rowan | W | 79 - 73 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Eastern | W | 77 - 69 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Salisbury | W | 81 - 48 |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | Hood | W | 93 - 89 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Swarthmore | W | 76 - 69 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Susquehanna | L | 60 - 66 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Illinois Tech | W | 75 - 50 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Babson | W | 83 - 77 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Stevenson | W | 90 - 82 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Chris. Newport | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Gettysburg | W | 58 - 56 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Washington Col. | W | 93 - 64 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Franklin & Marshall | L | 54 - 68 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | McDaniel | W | 83 - 43 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Muhlenberg | W | 80 - 53 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Dickinson | W | 87 - 68 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Haverford | W | 88 - 58 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Gettysburg | L | 59 - 61 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Ursinus | W | 84 - 78 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Jackson | - | 20 | 28.7 | 18.2 | 7.0 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 11.9 | 14.8 | 62 | 3.1 | 17.4 | 52.9 | 32.6 | 81.8 | -1.15 | 62.7 | 55.9 |
| Wyatt Eglinton Manner | - | 18 | 27.2 | 13.3 | 5.6 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 12.2 | 10.2 | 78 | 4.3 | 26.8 | 44.3 | 28.0 | 58.2 | 1.25 | 49.3 | 47.5 |
| Cooper Haberern | - | 1 | 38.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 112 | 8.0 | 24.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 3.99 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Tate Landis | - | 1 | 28.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 77 | 5.1 | 18.5 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 85.7 | 2.48 | 45.9 | 30.0 |
| Jeb Williams | - | 18 | 25.2 | 9.4 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 7.4 | 7.1 | 7 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 44.4 | 36.0 | 80.6 | 1.44 | 58.0 | 54.5 |
| Tanti Felli | - | 19 | 23.7 | 8.6 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 5.6 | 8.7 | 24 | 1.3 | 7.6 | 67.3 | 46.2 | 51.9 | 0.42 | 69.0 | 70.1 |
| Nick Klaiber | - | 18 | 20.9 | 8.1 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 6.8 | 4.9 | 53 | 2.8 | 20.9 | 39.8 | 44.8 | 71.4 | 1.16 | 50.5 | 45.1 |
| Logan Feller | - | 18 | 25.8 | 7.2 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 5.3 | 6.7 | -6 | -0.4 | -13.1 | 39.6 | 36.5 | 77.5 | 0.35 | 57.2 | 51.6 |
| Nick Schroeder | - | 1 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 54 | 3.6 | 18.0 | 40.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 2.69 | 51.0 | 50.0 |
| Aleks Smith | - | 1 | 35.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 21 | 1.5 | 8.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.93 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Teagan Swint | - | 18 | 9.1 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 32 | 1.8 | 41.8 | 46.7 | 40.0 | 83.3 | -0.03 | 59.9 | 58.3 |
| Ben Troyer | - | 1 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 45 | 3.0 | 14.9 | 33.3 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.95 | 51.5 | 33.3 |
| Dan Becil | - | 12 | 5.6 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 1 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 60.0 | 36.4 | 77.8 | -0.57 | 75.2 | 70.0 |
| Gil Otoo | - | 11 | 7.5 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 40 | 3.3 | 585.4 | 44.0 | 47.4 | 0.0 | -0.81 | 58.9 | 62.0 |
| Tomas Bruzoni | - | 7 | 6.2 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 3.3 | -3 | -0.4 | -8.6 | 62.5 | 0.0 | 71.4 | 0.54 | 67.7 | 62.5 |
| Isaiah Hanson | - | 7 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.1 | -5 | -0.7 | -16.8 | 50.0 | 28.6 | 25.0 | 0.71 | 55.3 | 60.0 |
| Evan Rainville | - | 18 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.6 | -1 | -0.1 | -1.2 | 34.4 | 26.3 | 100.0 | 0.81 | 44.1 | 42.2 |
| Justin Huang | - | 17 | 9.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 30 | 1.8 | 30.9 | 23.7 | 11.8 | 50.0 | 2.66 | 28.3 | 26.3 |
| Will Stevenson | - | 20 | 13.1 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 3.0 | 25 | 1.2 | 13.9 | 42.1 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 1.7 | 47.9 | 42.1 |
| Paul Joire | - | 7 | 4.7 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1 | 0.1 | 3.7 | 16.7 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.14 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Camden Parada | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -2.0 | -11.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.28 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Drew Pape | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 17 | 1.4 | 25.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.35 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Colin Treude | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 49 | 3.5 | 49.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.06 | 0 | 0 |
| David Weaver | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 24 | 2.2 | 44.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.55 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG