John Jay
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 858 (#565) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 761 (#612) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 916 (#656) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -23.6 (#485) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -19.0 (#675) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.308 (#590) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.053 (#696) | AdjNet -24.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.049 (#697) | AdjNet -25.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.157 (#693) | AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 85.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.272 (#692) | AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 79.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.155 (#708) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.169 (#704) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 788 (#560) | RD 100 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Endicott | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Emmanuel (MA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-13 | @ | Princeton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | SUNY Maritime | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Old Westbury | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Greenville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | FDU-Florham | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | St. Joseph's (L.I.) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Lehman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | Manhattanville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | York (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Westfield St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | NYU | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Russell Sage | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Hunter | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Baruch | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Medgar Evers | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Brooklyn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | CCNY | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | York (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Hunter | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-03 | vs | Baruch | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | Medgar Evers | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pape Tunkara | - | 1 | 29.4 | 26.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 26.0 | 27 | 1.4 | 5.3 | 61.5 | 75.0 | 87.5 | 0.75 | 78.7 | 73.1 |
| Michael Bowman | - | 1 | 31.0 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 22.0 | -67 | -3.7 | -16.3 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 91.7 | 1.47 | 84.0 | 72.2 |
| Michael Litchfield | - | 1 | 41.1 | 23.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 25 | 2.8 | 101.5 | 45.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -2.08 | 47.1 | 45.0 |
| Joash Beaton | - | 1 | 31.3 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 42.1 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -2.54 | 42.8 | 42.1 |
| Jamir Stewart | - | 13 | 33.8 | 16.9 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 4.2 | 12.8 | 8.0 | 42 | 1.9 | 10.1 | 37.1 | 34.0 | 79.0 | -0.83 | 54.3 | 46.7 |
| John Paul Maaba | - | 2 | 34.9 | 16.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 12.0 | 9.5 | -36 | -2.0 | -9.1 | 50.0 | 22.2 | 66.7 | -0.51 | 57.2 | 54.2 |
| Brandon Harris | - | 1 | 29.4 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 20.0 | 9.0 | -5 | -0.2 | -0.8 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.91 | 35.3 | 25.0 |
| Jayden Jarret | - | 2 | 29.5 | 15.5 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 11.0 | 10.5 | -70 | -10.0 | -61.0 | 54.5 | 0 | 53.8 | -3.87 | 55.9 | 54.5 |
| Keyshawn Miller | - | 13 | 37.0 | 15.3 | 8.5 | 5.2 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 14.6 | 15.3 | 7 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 37.9 | 19.5 | 52.2 | 1.13 | 43.3 | 40.0 |
| Trevon Coppin | - | 2 | 30.1 | 14.5 | 9.5 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 11.5 | 15.0 | -60 | -2.9 | -16.6 | 43.5 | 50.0 | 60.0 | -0.72 | 52.9 | 50.0 |
| Peter Douvres | - | 2 | 35.0 | 14.0 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 10.5 | 7.0 | -117 | -5.3 | -22.0 | 42.9 | 53.3 | 66.7 | -0.28 | 62.7 | 61.9 |
| Aidony Nivar | - | 1 | 26.6 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 58 | 3.4 | 47.0 | 41.7 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 0.46 | 52.3 | 50.0 |
| Ahmed Toure | - | 2 | 33.2 | 13.0 | 12.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 19.5 | -35 | -2.1 | -9.6 | 66.7 | 0 | 50.0 | 2.31 | 65.8 | 66.7 |
| Boubacar Mbaye | - | 2 | 22.8 | 12.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 7.5 | 10.0 | -67 | -4.5 | -17.9 | 66.7 | 33.3 | 57.1 | -1.9 | 69.1 | 70.0 |
| Elie Mondelus | - | 1 | 32.9 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | -10 | -3.3 | -22.3 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.41 | 46.3 | 45.5 |
| Demetrios Kontos | - | 2 | 26.6 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | -45 | -2.2 | -12.4 | 53.3 | 45.5 | 0 | 0.47 | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Jack Gordon | - | 2 | 34.7 | 10.5 | 7.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | -97 | -4.4 | -18.4 | 30.0 | 25.0 | 75.0 | 0.17 | 44.6 | 37.5 |
| Adrian Kopec | - | 13 | 35.7 | 10.5 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 10.1 | 5.5 | 34 | 1.6 | 9.5 | 35.9 | 35.7 | 68.4 | -0.91 | 49.2 | 47.3 |
| Malakai Clark | - | 1 | 21.4 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | -44 | -2.6 | -18.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -2.04 | 56.3 | 50.0 |
| PJ Dalzell | - | 1 | 18.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | -3 | -0.5 | -46.2 | 100.0 | 0 | 57.1 | -2.16 | 82.2 | 100.0 |
| Shawn Serrata | - | 12 | 31.1 | 10.0 | 5.1 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 10.3 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 34.7 | 38.8 | 66.7 | -1.63 | 46.4 | 45.2 |
| Kyle Dhu | - | 1 | 30.1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0.11 | 64.4 | 66.7 |
| Khalel Noteman | - | 1 | 22.8 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 10 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 57.1 | 0 | 40.0 | 0.79 | 54.3 | 57.1 |
| Nicholas Bocharov | - | 1 | 7.4 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | -70 | -4.1 | -47.3 | 75.0 | 75.0 | 50.0 | -1.89 | 102.5 | 112.5 |
| Georgios Gatsias | - | 2 | 22.5 | 9.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 9.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 42.1 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.52 | 47.4 | 47.4 |
| Bryce Haynes | - | 1 | 17.1 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 47 | 3.1 | 59.5 | 75.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 2.73 | 82.0 | 87.5 |
| Sidney Lebonzo | - | 1 | 16.3 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | -5 | -0.2 | -2.8 | 42.9 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -0.15 | 50.8 | 50.0 |
| Jeremy Rosario | - | 1 | 15.3 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | -5 | -0.2 | -1.2 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.14 | 59.2 | 40.0 |
| Cole Bailey | - | 2 | 20.2 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.5 | -22 | -1.2 | -14.4 | 62.5 | 66.7 | 75.0 | 1.09 | 76.8 | 75.0 |
| Adrian Owusu | - | 1 | 27.8 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.38 | 45.1 | 33.3 |
| Ben Aprilante | - | 1 | 25.6 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 17.0 | -5 | -0.2 | -1.7 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.31 | 116.7 | 116.7 |
| Michael Perez | - | 2 | 29.6 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 8.0 | 1.0 | -133 | -7.0 | -36.6 | 31.2 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -4.16 | 35.7 | 31.2 |
| Bryan Godette | - | 1 | 11.4 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | -43 | -2.7 | -46.5 | 14.3 | 0 | 80.0 | -3.35 | 32.6 | 14.3 |
| Joshua Pierre | - | 2 | 18.3 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 6.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 23.1 | 14.3 | 100.0 | -0.37 | 39.5 | 26.9 |
| TC McLaurin III | - | 1 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | -4.85 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Amare Jordan | - | 13 | 22.2 | 5.7 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 4.2 | 6.3 | 32 | 1.5 | 14.8 | 54.5 | 28.6 | 41.4 | 0.97 | 54.6 | 56.4 |
| Mano Idir | - | 2 | 11.9 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 4.5 | -3 | -0.2 | -1.9 | 66.7 | 75.0 | 0 | -0.98 | 91.7 | 91.7 |
| Brandon Sun | - | 1 | 14.1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | -18 | -0.9 | -8.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.47 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Mikey Steward | - | 1 | 16.8 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | -27 | -1.7 | -53.5 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0.0 | -2.63 | 57.9 | 83.3 |
| Kristian Nunez | - | 2 | 29.6 | 4.5 | 9.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 14.5 | -48 | -2.5 | -14.6 | 57.1 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 1.16 | 60.5 | 64.3 |
| Jeremiah Otasowie | - | 2 | 30.2 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 2.0 | -82 | -4.1 | -17.4 | 23.1 | 16.7 | 50.0 | -3.04 | 30.5 | 26.9 |
| Sloan Ireland | - | 2 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 4.0 | -35 | -1.8 | -12.9 | 57.1 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.62 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| TJ Chisolm | - | 11 | 18.9 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4.7 | 5.0 | -5 | -5.0 | -42.3 | 28.8 | 25.0 | 56.2 | -3.66 | 35.6 | 31.7 |
| Daniel Haire | - | 2 | 13.8 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 8.0 | -65 | -3.1 | -32.8 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 50.0 | -0.43 | 90.2 | 100.0 |
| Trevonne Tcha | - | 2 | 18.6 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | -79 | -4.4 | -53.7 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.26 | 50.9 | 50.0 |
| James Bradberry | - | 13 | 13.7 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 4.6 | -3 | -0.1 | -2.4 | 77.8 | 0 | 30.0 | -3.28 | 69.2 | 77.8 |
| Kai Holland | - | 1 | 11.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 25.8 | 0.0 |
| Deavion Springsteen | - | 1 | 13.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -39 | -3.2 | -106.2 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.44 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Matthew Kelleher | - | 2 | 11.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -36 | -2.2 | -26.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.2 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Nathan Sanderson | - | 2 | 8.6 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | -38 | -2.5 | -84.2 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1.63 | 29.1 | 33.3 |
| Mike McLaughlin | - | 1 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -22 | -1.1 | -26.0 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | -2.39 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Omar Calderon | - | 11 | 6.1 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.7 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0 | 42.9 | - | 40.6 | 37.5 |
| Alsseny Diallo | - | 6 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | -0.7 | 27 | 2.2 | 35.6 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.65 | 15.2 | 11.1 |
| Myles Tucker | - | 8 | 6.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | -0.1 | -51 | -3.6 | -142.5 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.79 | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| Zachary Bussey | - | 1 | 21.4 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -2.0 | -69 | -4.3 | -44.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.76 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Omari Hinds | - | 1 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | -67 | -4.2 | -62.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Justin Rosario | - | 1 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -62 | -4.1 | -81.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.68 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG