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John Carroll Blue Streaks

Season: 2026
Also known as: John Carroll Blue Streaks
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1357 (#9) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1272 (#24) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More โ†’ 1139 (#53) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More โ†’ +11.0 (#15) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +8.6 (#241) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.789 (#48) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +12.6 More โ†’ 0.810 (#23) AdjNet +12.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.3 More โ†’ 0.808 (#22) AdjNet +12.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 84.9 | AdjD 75.3 More โ†’ 0.704 (#20) AdjO 84.9 | AdjD 75.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 89.1 | AdjD 78.0 More โ†’ 0.733 (#77) AdjO 89.1 | AdjD 78.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.740 (#158) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.746 (#144) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 22 More โ†’ 1227 (#46) RD 95 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-02-11 @ Oberlin W 89 - 76
2026-02-14 @ Denison L 70 - 87
2026-02-21 vs Wittenberg W 80 - 68
2026-02-24 vs Oberlin W 77 - 73
2026-02-27 @ DePauw W 82 - 71
2026-02-28 @ Denison W 84 - 66
2026-03-06 vs Grinnell W 118 - 86
2026-03-07 @ Ill. Wesleyan L 60 - 73

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Luke Chicone - 8 35.4 22.6 4.4 5.4 3.1 0.0 1.2 16.5 17.8 - - - - 53.0 41.0 48.1 - 58.4 59.1
Kasey Hunt - 8 22.4 11.2 3.5 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.0 10.9 4.0 - - - - 42.5 26.1 90.9 - 49.0 46.0
Kyle Irwin - 8 20.3 10.4 3.5 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.5 6.8 8.1 - - - - 50.0 48.7 76.9 - 69.5 67.6
Jack Zapolnik - 8 16.5 10.4 2.2 1.4 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.2 7.8 - - - - 54.0 50.0 76.5 - 72.2 70.0
Mike Lamirand - 8 23.4 9.5 6.5 0.9 1.8 0.8 0.9 8.5 10.0 - - - - 35.3 25.6 56.7 - 46.8 43.4
Aidan Fitzgerald - 8 25.1 5.5 4.4 0.4 1.1 0.0 0.2 5.0 6.1 - - - - 40.0 33.3 100.0 - 53.8 52.5
Brandon Rose - 8 9.2 3.9 1.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.4 4.2 1.2 - - - - 32.4 10.0 53.3 - 38.2 33.8
Sean Collins - 8 21.9 3.6 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.8 2.6 4.5 - - - - 38.1 0 54.2 - 45.9 38.1
Justin Chapman - 8 11.3 2.2 2.9 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.9 3.6 - - - - 40.0 33.3 57.1 - 49.8 46.7
Lucas Perusek - 6 9.3 2.0 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.7 1.0 2.8 - - - - 50.0 100.0 50.0 - 57.7 58.3
Tyree Turner - 6 1.2 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 - - - - 75.0 0.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Peyton Budrys-Rini - 5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 - - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
Michael Condoleon - 5 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 - - - - 0 0 100.0 - 113.6 0
Drew Styers - 5 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 - - - - 0.0 0 50.0 - 26.6 0.0
Devin Burgess - 6 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 - - - - 0.0 0 25.0 - 18.1 0.0
Jack Sladky - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ryan Ioppolo - 6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Lucas Wachter - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Andrew Taggart - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Cam Moore - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG