🐻⬇️🏀

Jessup

Season: 2026 2025 2024
Also known as: Jessup
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 878 (#465) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 817 (#493) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 852 (#650) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -4.1 (#215) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -13.8 (#547) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.162 (#504) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -16.8 More → 0.108 (#394) NetEff -16.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -7.1 More → 0.307 (#469) AdjNet -7.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.8 More → 0.310 (#469) AdjNet -6.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.4 | AdjD 64.5 More → 0.407 (#463) AdjO 60.4 | AdjD 64.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 55.1 | AdjD 66.5 More → 0.262 (#637) AdjO 55.1 | AdjD 66.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.196 (#601) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.200 (#604) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 24 More → 804 (#462) RD 95 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ UC Davis L 35 - 72
2025-11-14 @ San Fran. St. L 71 - 80
2025-11-15 @ Cal St. Monterey Bay L 40 - 53
2025-11-20 vs Bushnell W 65 - 63
2025-11-22 vs Stanislaus St. W 75 - 67
2025-11-26 @ Chico St. L 64 - 83
2025-11-29 @ Cal Poly Humboldt L 67 - 88
2025-12-04 vs Point Loma L 60 - 81
2025-12-06 vs Biola L 65 - 66
2025-12-16 @ Menlo L 60 - 83
2026-01-03 vs Hawaii Hilo W 60 - 52
2026-01-10 @ Azusa Pacific L 64 - 89
2026-01-17 vs CUI L 66 - 78
2026-01-20 @ Fresno Pacific L 62 - 78
2026-01-22 vs Menlo W 68 - 64
2026-01-24 vs Dominican (CA) L 50 - 69
2026-01-29 @ CUI L 45 - 73
2026-01-31 @ Biola L 38 - 49
2026-02-02 @ Westmont L 31 - 60
2026-02-05 vs Fresno Pacific W 63 - 57
2026-02-07 vs Azusa Pacific L 63 - 64

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Giselle Dogan - 13 25.2 12.7 3.6 1.9 0.9 0.4 2.4 12.5 4.7 -61 -3.8 -38.0 35.8 28.6 74.4 -0.62 46.0 42.0
Porter Wood - 20 24.8 11.0 6.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 2.4 8.9 8.8 -123 -7.2 -45.6 44.9 14.3 55.9 -0.33 49.4 45.8
Andheya Aurelio - 21 30.3 9.4 3.8 1.7 1.5 0.1 1.6 10.3 4.6 -154 -7.7 -46.5 29.2 29.1 74.2 0.23 40.5 35.0
Laia Pala - 10 25.5 7.4 2.6 1.6 1.2 0.2 2.0 6.7 4.3 -65 -8.1 -22.5 44.8 20.0 75.0 -0.29 50.0 46.3
Amari Guiton - 11 22.3 6.9 4.6 0.9 1.2 0.6 1.1 5.7 7.5 -12 -0.9 -8.7 44.4 0 51.3 1.06 47.4 44.4
Hailey Hoff - 21 22.2 5.8 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.2 6.0 1.5 -76 -3.8 -46.7 33.6 36.0 85.7 -3.4 47.6 46.4
Claudia Jimenez - 19 21.6 5.8 2.4 1.7 1.9 0.4 2.2 7.2 2.9 -84 -5.6 -42.3 29.4 25.0 70.0 -1.27 38.0 35.3
Raylyn Fergerson - 20 22.7 4.2 4.7 1.0 0.7 0.0 1.9 5.2 3.5 -99 -5.2 -29.1 34.0 0.0 66.7 -2.91 37.4 34.0
Aniah Cross - 17 13.2 3.9 2.0 0.1 1.1 0.0 1.2 4.0 1.8 -51 -3.6 -30.0 32.4 30.8 72.0 -2.55 41.8 35.3
Mirella Boshell-Fernandes - 18 15.1 2.5 2.6 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.6 1.8 4.2 -36 -2.8 -15.6 48.5 0 56.5 -1.02 52.2 48.5
Ella Baumgartner - 20 9.6 1.6 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 0.8 1.1 -55 -3.4 -69.9 56.2 50.0 71.4 0.25 72.2 68.8
Patricia Gonzalez - 13 5.5 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.5 0 0.0 0.0 31.2 33.3 50.0 1.34 36.6 34.4
Hannah Shaver - 12 7.1 0.7 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.8 1.2 -42 -3.2 -83.0 44.4 0 0 -2.4 44.4 44.4
Olivia Nicolas - 8 6.6 0.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.1 -16 -2.7 -43.6 0.0 0.0 0 0.14 0.0 0.0
Eva Delgado - 6 2.4 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.0 -0.13 0.0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG