🐻⬇️🏀

Jessup

Season: 2026 2025 2024
Also known as: Jessup
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 890 (#448) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 816 (#493) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 852 (#650) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -4.1 (#265) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -13.8 (#547) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.162 (#504) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -16.8 More → 0.108 (#394) NetEff -16.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -7.1 More → 0.307 (#469) AdjNet -7.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.8 More → 0.310 (#469) AdjNet -6.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.4 | AdjD 64.5 More → 0.407 (#463) AdjO 60.4 | AdjD 64.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 55.1 | AdjD 66.5 More → 0.262 (#637) AdjO 55.1 | AdjD 66.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.196 (#601) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.200 (#604) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 24 More → 795 (#461) RD 95 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ UC Davis - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 @ San Fran. St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Cal St. Monterey Bay - Incomplete score
2025-11-20 vs Bushnell - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs Stanislaus St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-26 @ Chico St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 @ Cal Poly Humboldt - Incomplete score
2025-12-04 vs Point Loma - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Biola - Incomplete score
2025-12-16 @ Menlo - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 vs Hawaii Hilo - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Azusa Pacific - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs CUI - Incomplete score
2026-01-20 @ Fresno Pacific - Incomplete score
2026-01-22 vs Menlo - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Dominican (CA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 @ CUI - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Biola - Incomplete score
2026-02-02 @ Westmont - Incomplete score
2026-02-05 vs Fresno Pacific - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Azusa Pacific - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Giselle Dogan - 12 25.4 13.3 3.8 2.1 0.8 0.4 2.5 12.5 5.3 -61 -3.8 -38.0 37.3 29.7 74.4 -1.68 47.9 43.7
Porter Wood - 19 24.6 11.3 7.0 1.1 0.8 0.4 2.3 9.1 9.2 -123 -7.2 -45.6 45.9 15.0 57.4 -1.08 50.4 46.8
Andheya Aurelio - 20 30.8 9.7 3.8 1.6 1.5 0.1 1.6 10.2 4.8 -154 -7.7 -46.5 30.2 30.5 73.3 -2.17 41.7 36.3
Laia Pala - 10 25.5 7.4 2.6 1.6 1.2 0.2 2.0 6.7 4.3 -65 -8.1 -22.5 44.8 20.0 75.0 -2.73 50.0 46.3
Amari Guiton - 10 22.8 6.6 4.8 1.0 1.2 0.7 1.2 5.2 7.9 -12 -0.9 -8.7 46.2 0 50.0 1.68 48.6 46.2
Hailey Hoff - 20 22.6 6.0 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 1.2 6.1 1.6 -76 -3.8 -46.7 33.6 36.0 85.7 0.15 47.6 46.3
Claudia Jimenez - 18 21.8 5.9 2.3 1.8 2.1 0.4 2.2 7.1 3.3 -84 -5.6 -42.3 30.7 24.6 70.0 0.0 39.4 36.6
Raylyn Fergerson - 19 22.5 4.4 4.8 1.1 0.7 0.0 1.9 5.3 3.7 -99 -5.2 -29.1 35.0 0.0 68.4 -0.74 38.3 35.0
Aniah Cross - 16 13.9 4.1 2.1 0.1 1.1 0.0 1.3 4.2 1.9 -51 -3.6 -30.0 32.4 30.8 72.0 -1.19 41.8 35.3
Mirella Boshell-Fernandes - 17 15.5 2.5 2.4 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.6 1.9 4.0 -36 -2.8 -15.6 50.0 0 52.6 0.04 52.0 50.0
Ella Baumgartner - 19 9.9 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 0.8 1.2 -55 -3.4 -69.9 56.2 50.0 71.4 -1.3 72.2 68.8
Patricia Gonzalez - 12 4.6 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.3 0 0.0 0.0 35.7 33.3 50.0 0.27 40.3 39.3
Hannah Shaver - 11 7.7 0.7 1.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.7 0.8 1.4 -42 -3.2 -83.0 44.4 0 0 -4.16 44.4 44.4
Olivia Nicolas - 7 4.5 0.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 -16 -2.7 -43.6 0.0 0.0 0 -1.84 0.0 0.0
Eva Delgado - 5 2.6 0.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.0 - 0.0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG