Jarvis Christian
Model Outputs
2021-2022
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 970 (#521) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -17.0 (#745) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -21.5 (#582) | HCA +2.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.302 (#633) | AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 74.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.169 (#572) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.188 (#585) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 736 (#641) | RD 338 | GP 4 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-15 | @ | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | L | 61 - 91 |
| 2021-12-02 | @ | Grambling Tigers | L | 44 - 71 |
| 2021-12-04 | @ | Rice Owls | L | 62 - 100 |
| 2022-02-08 | @ | Rice Owls | L | 63 - 98 |
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M. Wyatt
|
- | 4 | 16.8 | 10.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 13.8 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.66 | 0 | 0 |
D. McNiel
|
- | 2 | 20.5 | 9.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.42 | 0 | 0 |
J. Dill
|
G | 4 | 22.0 | 9.5 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.71 | 0 | 0 |
S. Matthews
|
- | 3 | 29.7 | 8.3 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 14.7 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.51 | 0 | 0 |
I. Smith
|
- | 1 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
A. Taylor
|
F | 1 | 18.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | -112 | -3.2 | -3.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 |
T. Randolph
|
F | 1 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | -50 | -1.9 | -4.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.11 | 0 | 0 |
J. Jackson
|
G | 3 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 9.3 | 92 | 2.6 | 4.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 |
C. Himes
|
- | 1 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
D. Kingsby
|
G | 1 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | -152 | -10.1 | -15.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.78 | 0 | 0 |
N. Hutchins
|
- | 1 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | -2 | -0.2 | -0.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.24 | 0 | 0 |
J. Womack
|
G | 4 | 8.8 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 4.2 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.47 | 0 | 0 |
K. Bradley
|
G | 4 | 11.8 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.61 | 0 | 0 |
J. Brown
|
- | 3 | 10.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7 | -102 | -5.4 | -17.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.15 | 0 | 0 |
K. McQueen
|
- | 3 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 4.3 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.62 | 0 | 0 |
N. Braden
|
- | 2 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
K. Brown
|
- | 2 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -44 | -4.0 | -18.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.99 | 0 | 0 |
T. Woods
|
- | 4 | 9.2 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 2.8 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.51 | 0 | 0 |
L. Smith
|
G | 4 | 11.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 4.8 | -239 | -8.5 | -13.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.81 | 0 | 0 |
K. Jackson
|
- | 3 | 15.7 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 3.3 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.15 | 0 | 0 |
J. Fisher
|
- | 3 | 8.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | -0.3 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
L. Kirkendoll
|
- | 3 | 14.3 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.42 | 0 | 0 |
T. Cargo
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
E. Parrish
|
G | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -56 | -2.8 | -6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.49 | 0 | 0 |
T. Boyd
|
- | 1 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
J. Culp
|
- | 2 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
T. Spivey
|
- | 2 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.36 | 0 | 0 |
J. Culp
|
- | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG